Spatiotemporal modeling and simulation of chernobyl radioactive fallout in northern Turkey


In this study, the Chernobyl radioactive fallouts are described through the spatio-temporal point cumulative semivariogram (STPCSV) method, which is used to identify spatial and temporal regionalized changes in 134Cs and 137Cs concentrations. The application of the methodology is presented for the Black Sea Region, which is the most affected area from the Chernobyl radioactive fallouts in Turkey. After detailed explanation of the methodology hourly simulation maps are prepared for 134Cs and 137Cs spreads over the area. Each one of these maps provides valuable information about the spatial variability of the concentrations concerned. The STPCSV helps to identify the exhibition of heterogenic structure of radioactive concentration in the study area.

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This research is partially supported by the Fırat University under Project No. FÜBAP-1812. We would like to thank Turkish State Meteorological Service for the wind speed data. We would also like to thank Turkish Atomic Energy Authority for the radionuclide data.

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Correspondence to Fatih Külahcı.

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Niksarlıoğlu, S., Külahcı, F. & Şen, Z. Spatiotemporal modeling and simulation of chernobyl radioactive fallout in northern Turkey. J Radioanal Nucl Chem 303, 171–186 (2015).

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  • Radioactive fallout
  • Spatial analysis
  • Spatiotemporal analysis
  • Model