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An Asymptotic Expansion for Probabilities of Moderate Deviations for Multivariate Martingales

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We derive formulae for probabilities of large deviations in a moderate range for multivariate martingales. Although we give an elementary proof for univariate martingales, there is no elementary extension to the multivariate case. The hard point is to produce a proper estimate for the norming factor. For this we develop a method of sequential projectors which allows us to obtain the desired natural extension of the result in the univariate case.

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Grama, I.G., Haeusler, E. An Asymptotic Expansion for Probabilities of Moderate Deviations for Multivariate Martingales. J Theor Probab 19, 1–44 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-006-0001-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-006-0001-x

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