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Degradation Modeling and Lifetime Evaluation for Organic Anti-Corrosion Coatings Using a Three-Stage Electrochemical Statistical Model

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Abstract

Evaluating the status and lifetime of organic coatings has great significance in structural safety. However, it is quite difficult to evaluate the lifetime of coatings priorly based on conventional visible indicators because they cannot measure the internal changes of coatings. In this paper, a new and effective composite indicator, i.e., circuit-resistance-impedance (CRI), is used to characterize the multi-source uncertainty of the performance degradation of coatings, and a three-stage electrochemical statistical model is proposed to evaluate the service life of organic coatings. Particularly, the Box-Cox transformation is first utilized to improve the normality of the distribution of corrosion rate. Then, a constrained maximum likelihood estimation algorithm considering failure mechanism equivalence is presented to estimate the unknown model parameters. Next, a time-varying reliability model is constructed based on proposed CRI failure criterion and the reliable lifetime of coatings is further evaluated. Finally, a rapid discrimination method of coating status is proposed through measuring the asynchrony of degradation using the coefficient of variation. A corrosion test for epoxy coatings is designed and conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed models. Results indicate that they can significantly improve the rationality and validity of coatings lifetime evaluation.

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Data Availability

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

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Funding

This work was supported in part by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52075020 and Grant 72201019, and in part by Basic Technical Research Project of China under Grant JSZL2018601B004.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China

    Haodi Ji, Xiaobing Ma, Han Wang & Qian Chen

  2. School of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610065, China

    Yikun Cai

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  1. Haodi Ji
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  2. Xiaobing Ma
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  4. Han Wang
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  5. Qian Chen
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Contributions

HJ: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Writing—Original draft preparation. XM: Resources, Project administration, Supervision. YC: Data curation, Writing—Review & Editing. HW: Validation, Funding acquisition. QC: Software, Validation.

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Correspondence to Xiaobing Ma or Yikun Cai.

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Ji, H., Ma, X., Cai, Y. et al. Degradation Modeling and Lifetime Evaluation for Organic Anti-Corrosion Coatings Using a Three-Stage Electrochemical Statistical Model. J Polym Environ 32, 1046–1064 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10924-023-03015-5

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