Abstract
This article introduces original annual average years of schooling measures for each state from 1840 to 2000. Our methodology results in state estimates similar to those reported in the United States Census from 2000 back to 1940 and national, turn of the century estimates strikingly close to those presented by Schultz (Schultz, T. (1961). In N. B. Henry (Ed.), Social forces influencing American education. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.) and Fishlow (Fishlow, A. (1966). In H. Rosovsky (Ed.), Industrialization in two systems. John Wiley & Sons). To further determine the validity of our state schooling estimates, we first combine original data on real state per worker output with existing data to provide a more comprehensive series of real state output per worker from 1840 to 2000. We then estimate aggregate Mincerian earnings regressions and discover that the return to a year of schooling for the average individual in a state ranges from 11% to 15%. This range is robust to various time periods, various estimation methods, various assumptions about the endogeneity of schooling and is in line with the body of evidence from the labor literature.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Angrist J.D., Krueger A.B. (1991). Does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings?. Quarterly Journal of Economics 106: 979–1014
Baier, S., Dwyer, G., & Tamura, R. (2006). How important are capital and total factor productivity for economic growth? Economic Inquiry.
Barro R., Lee J.-W. (1993). International comparisons of educational attainment. Journal of Monetary Economics 32: 363–394
Berry W.D., Fording R.C., Hanson R.L. (2000). An annual cost of living index for the American States, 1960–95. Journal of Politics 60: 550–567
Blundell R., Bond S.R. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics 87: 115–143
Blundell, R., & Bond, S. R. (1999). GMM estimation with persistent panel data: An application to production functions. The Institute for Fiscal Studies. Working Paper W99/4.
Card, D. (1995). Using geographic variation in college proximity to estimate the return to schooling. In L. N. Christofides, E. K. Grant, & R. Swidinsky (Eds.), Aspects of labour market behaviour: Essays in honour of John Vanderkamp, (pp. 201–222). Toronto, Canada: University of Toronto Press.
Denison, E. (1962). The sources of economic growth in the United States and the alternatives before US. New York: Committee for Economic Development.
Easterlin, R. (1960a). Regional growth of income: Long term tendencies, 1880–1950. In S. Kuznets, A. R. Miller, & R. Easterlin (Eds.), Population redistribution and economic growth, United States, 1870–1950, Vol. 1. Analyses of Economic Change, Philadelphia: American Philosophical Society.
Easterlin, R. (1960b). Interregional differences in per capita income, population, and total income, 1840–1950. In W. N. Parker (Ed.), Trends in the American economy in the Nineteenth century, Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Easterly W., Levine R. (2001). It’s not factor accumulation: Stylized facts and growth models. World Bank Economics Review 15: 177–219
Fishlow A. (1966). The common school revival: Fact or fancy?. In Rosovsky H. (ed). Industrialization in two systems (Essays in honor of Alexander Gerschenkron), (pp. 40–67). John Wiley & Sons.
Goldin C. (1999). America’s graduation from high school: The evolution and spread of secondary schooling in the twentieth century. Journal of Economic History 58: 345–374
Goldin C., Katz L. (2000). Education and income in the early 20th century: Evidence from the prairies. Journal of Economic History 60: 782–818
Goldin, C., & Margo, R. A. (1992). Wages, prices, and labor markets before the civil war. In C. Goldin, & H. Rockoff (Eds.), Strategic factors in nineteenth century American economic history: A volume to honor Robert W. Fogel, Chicago: NBER, University of Chicago Press.
Gordon R. (1999). Macroeconomics. New York, Addison-Wesley
Klenow, P. J., & Rodriguez-Clare, A. (1997). The neoclassical revival in growth economics: Has it gone too far? NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 73–114.
Kuznets S. (1946). National income: A summary of findings. New York, National Bureau of Economic Research
Long C.D. (1958). The labor force under changing income and employment. Princeton, Princeton University Press
Mitchener K.J., McLean I.W. (1997). U.S. regional growth and convergence 1880–1980. Journal of Economic History 59: 1016–1042
Mulligan C., Sala-i-Martin X. (1997). A labor-income based measure of the aggregate value of human capital. Journal of Japan and the World Economy 9: 159–191
Mulligan C., Sala-i-Martin X. (2000). Measuring aggregate human capital. Journal of Economic Growth 5: 215–252
National Catholic Education Association. (various years). United States Catholic elementary and secondary schools, Washington, DC: National Catholic Education Association.
Schultz, T. (1961). Education and education growth. In N. B. Henry (Ed.), Social forces influencing American education. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Snyder, T., Hoffman, L., & Geddes, C. (1998). State comparisons of education statistics: 1969–70 to 1996–97, Washington, D.C.: National Center for Education Statistics: U.S. Department of Education.
Staiger D., Stock J.H. (1997). Instrumental variables regression with weak instruments. Econometrica 65: 557–586
Tamura R. (2001). Teachers, growth and convergence. Journal of Political Economy 109: 1021–1059
Temple J. (1999). The new growth evidence. Journal of Economic Literature 37: 112–156
Towne, M. W., & Rasmussen, W. D. (1960). Farm gross product and gross investment in the nineteenth century. In Trends in the American economy in the nineteenth century studies in income and wealth, (Vol. 24). Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Turner, C., Tamura, R., Mulholland, S., & Baier, S. (2006). How important are physical capital, human capital and total factor productivity for economic growth? Clemson University working paper.
United States Census Bureau (various years). Statistical abstracts of the United States. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
United States (1845). Congress. Senate. By American Statistical Association. 28th Cong., 2nd sess. Senate. Document No. 5. Washington: GPO.
United States Department of Commerce (1975). Historical statistics of the United States: Colonial times to 1970. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
United States Department of Education (various years). Digest of education statistics. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
United States Department of Health, Education and Welfare. (various years). Projections of educational statistics to .... Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office
Weiss, T. (1999). Estimates of white and nonwhite gainful workers in the United States by age group and sex, 1800 to 1900. Historical Methods, 21–36.
Williamson J.G., Linder P.H. (1980). American inequality, (pp. 97–132). Academic Press.
Wooldridge J. (2002). Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. Cambridge, MA, M.I.T. Press
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
All views expressed here are the authors’ and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta or the Federal Reserve System.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Turner, C., Tamura, R., Mulholland, S.E. et al. Education and income of the states of the United States: 1840–2000. J Econ Growth 12, 101–158 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9016-0
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9016-0