Skip to main content
Log in

Manufacturing process performance prediction by integrating crisp and granular information

  • Published:
Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing Aims and scope Submit manuscript

This study deals with the integration of crisp and granular information for predicting the performance of a manufacturing process. Supporting and computing a set of two If-Then rules is considered the central idea for this integration. In these rules, the antecedent part deals with the recommended ranges of the control variables of the process, while the consequent part deals with the acceptable ranges of the performance measures of the process. The rules specify that if the control variables are kept within their recommended ranges, then it is likely or unlikely to get the performance measures within their acceptable ranges. The rules are supported by using the following conditional probabilities: the probability of getting the performance measures acceptable given that the control variables are within their recommended ranges (which should be likely), and the probability of getting performance measures acceptable given that the control variables are not within their recommended ranges (which should be unlikely). The remarkable thing is that both acceptable ranges and recommended ranges are subjectively defined concepts. So are likelihood perceptions such as “likely” and “unlikely.” Therefore, all of them can be defined by using some kind of fuzzy-granular information. The usefulness of this new approach is demonstrated by solving a machining decision-making problem (select cutting conditions and inserts satisfying subjectively defined surface finish requirement in terms of roughness and fractal dimension of machined surface). Further study should be directed toward understanding these rules in the context of predictive process planning.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Abbreviations

AC:

acceptable range

AL:

absolutely likely

AUL:

absolutely unlikely

c-granular:

crisp-granular or semi-numerical information

CV:

control variable

DoB():

degree of belief of ()

E():

expected value of ()

FD:

fractal dimension

f-granular:

fuzzy granular

fp-granular:

fuzzy-probability granular

LP:

linguistic probability

LPL:

likelihood-predominant probability

QL:

quite likely

QUL:

quite unlikely

ML:

most likely

NA:

not acceptable

NR:

not recommended

PM:

performance measure

PMIC:

performance measure constraint information

PPA:

probabilistic-possibilistic algorithm

Pr():

probability of ()

P2 Rules:

probabilistic-possibilistic rules

Ra:

Surface Roughness (arithmetic average)

RA:

recommended range

SI:

symbolic information

SL:

some likely

SUL:

some unlikely

UPL:

unlikely-predominant probability

References

  • Dubois, D. and Prade, H. (eds). (2000) The Handbook of Fuzzy Sets: Fundamentals of Fuzzy Sets, Volume 7, Kluwer Academic Press, Dordrecht

  • ISO. (1997) Geometrical Product Specifications—Surface texture: Profile method—Terms, definitions and surface texture parameters. 4287:1997

  • R. R. Aliev R. A. Aliev (2001) Soft Computing and Its Applications World Scientific Publication Singapore

    Google Scholar 

  • C. A. Brown W. A. Johnsen K. M. Hult (1998) ArticleTitleScale-sensitivity, fractal analysis and simulations International Journal of Machine Tools and Manufacture 38 IssueID5–6 633–637

    Google Scholar 

  • O. Castillo P. Melin (2003) Soft Computing and Fractal Theory for Intelligent Manufacturing Springer-Verlage Heidelberg

    Google Scholar 

  • Cooman, G. de. (2002) Precision-imprecision equivalence in a broad class of imprecise hierarchical uncertainty models, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 105(1), 175–198

    Google Scholar 

  • H. Kantz T. Schreiber (1997) Nonlinear Time Series Analysis Cambridge Nonlinear Science Series 7. Cambridge University Press Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • B. B. Mandelbrot (1967) ArticleTitleHow long is the coast of Britain? Statistical self-similarity and fractional dimension Science 156 636–638

    Google Scholar 

  • Moon, F. C. (1994) Chaotic Dynamics and Fractals in Material Removal Processes, In Chapter 2 of Nonlinearity and Chaos in Engineering Dynamics, J. M. T. Thompson and S. R. Bishop (eds), John Wiley and Sons, New York

  • Negnevitsky, M. (2002) Artificial Intelligence: A Guide to Intelligent Systems. Chapter 4: Uncertainty management in rule-based expert systems, Addison-Wesley, England, pp. 55–86

  • E. H. Shortliffe B. G. Buchanan (1975) ArticleTitleA model of inexact reasoning in medicine Mathematical Biosciences 23 IssueID3–4 351–379

    Google Scholar 

  • Ullah, A. M. M. S., Rahman, Md. R., Kachitvichyanuluk, V. and Harib, K. H. (2003) Fractal Dimension: A New Machining Decision-Making Parameter. Proceedings of the Forth International Conference on Intelligent Processing and Manufacturing of Materials (IPMM’03), 18–23 May 2003, Sendai, Japan

  • Wally, P. (2000) Imprecise Probabilities: Overview. URL: http://ippserv.rug.ac.be

  • Zadeh, L. A. (2002) Toward a perception-based theory of probabilistic reasoning with imprecise probabilities. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 105(1), 233–264

    Google Scholar 

  • Zadeh, L. A. (2001) A new direction of AI—toward a computational theory of perceptions, AI Magazine, 22(1), 73–84

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. M. M. Sharif Ullah.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Ullah, A.M.M.S., Harib, K.H. Manufacturing process performance prediction by integrating crisp and granular information. J Intell Manuf 16, 317–330 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10845-005-7026-3

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10845-005-7026-3

Keywords

Navigation