Summary
Evolution is a time process. It proceeds in steps of definite length. The probability of each step is relatively high, so self organization of complex systems will be possible in finite time. Prerequisite for such a process is a selection rule, which certainly exists in evolution. Therefore, it would be wrong to calculate the probability of the formation of a complex system solely on the basis of the number of its components and as a momentary event.
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Schurz, J. Probability and Evolution. Why the Probability Argument of Creationists is Wrong. J Gen Philos Sci 38, 163–165 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10838-006-9020-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10838-006-9020-7