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Assisted Migration, Risks and Scientific Uncertainty, and Ethics: A Comment on Albrecht et al.’s Review Paper

Abstract

In response to Albrecht et al.’s (J Agric Environ Ethics 26(4):827–845, 2013) discussion on the ethics of assisted migration, we emphasize the issues of risk and scientific uncertainty as an inextricable part of a comprehensive ethical evaluation. Insisting on a separation of risk and ethical considerations, although arguably common in many policy contexts, is at best misguided and at worst damaging.

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Notes

  1. Two issues plague the debate on assisted migration: terminological plurality and definitional varieties. Terminological plurality means that besides ‘assisted migration’, many other terms have been employed. The most common ones are ‘assisted colonization’ (the term employed, for example, by Albrecht et al. and the IUCN) and ‘managed relocation’, but a quick literature review reveals ‘facilitated migration’, ‘assisted range expansion’ and a plethora of other phrases. Many authors employ the terms, especially the three first-mentioned, interchangeably and prefer the use of one to the others for terminological reasons. Definitional varieties refer to the abundance of proposed definitions that differ from each other. In the recently introduced IUCN Guidelines for Reintroductions and Other Conservation Translocations (2012, 3), assisted colonisation is defined as “the intentional movement and release of an organism outside its indigenous range to avoid extinction of populations of the focal species”. For terminological and conceptual analyses, see Hällfors et al. whose review of 868 scientific publications included 40 terms and 75 “definitions” for assisted migration. They show that there are good reasons to adopt the term ‘assisted migration’ and a more refined definition than the one provided by the IUCN. We follow the use of ‘assisted migration’ in this response.

  2. Although the main point of this brief comment lies elsewhere, we would like to note that it is not obvious that one should not try to save a species even if this would require repeating assisted migration in the case that the climate keeps changing in the future, if there were no other way to prevent the extinction of the species. Indeed, a stepwise procedure for moving species may be recommendable in the face of continuous change (see e.g. McDonald-Madden et al. 2011; Sáenz-Romero et al. 2011).

  3. Natural scientific knowledge provides information necessary to be taken into account in responsible environmental decision-making. It does not, however, dictate any policy decision in the absence of values. The values underlying a science-based decision-making framework or policy may often remain hidden, but they can be made explicit by means of an ethical analysis.

  4. The debate has been analyzed from different perspectives (e.g. Hewitt et al. 2011; Klenk & Larson 2013; Haskins and Keel 2012; Schwartz et al. 2012), and analytic/decision frameworks and (best practice) guidelines to facilitate the implementation of assisted migration have been put forth (Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2008; Rout et al. 2013; Shoo et al. 2013; McDonald-Madden et al. 2011; Richardson et al. 2009; Schwartz and Martin 2013; Vitt et al. 2010; Maschinski et al. 2012; IUCN 2012).

  5. But what if the responses to risk and scientific uncertainty reflected purely subjective preferences? Even then they cannot be discounted simply on those grounds. Expert and lay people’s views about risks in themselves, whatever their bases, are relevant and need be taken into account in ethically sound risk decision-making. This is because of democratic reasons. Legitimate risk decisions cannot be wholly independent of the people’s will–irrespective of whether it operates with the same analytic rationality as do risk professionals (for discussion on technical and democratic values in risk analysis, see Fiorino 1989).

  6. The kind of risks one is willing to take reveals what one values. Furthermore, risk by (a non-technical) definition is something unwanted or harmful that may but is not certain to happen. Who is to decide, and on what criteria, what counts as a harm and what is to be avoided are questions of (dis)values and norms, the bases of which axiology and deontology, respectively, study.

  7. The precautionary principle calls for early measures of avoiding and mitigating serious and/or irreversible environmental and health effects in the face of scientific uncertainty. See EEA 2001; Wiener 2007; for a review of the academic debate, see Ahteensuu and Sandin 2012. It should be noted that the question is not only whether to apply the precautionary principle, but also to which risks it should be applied. The principle may be invoked to argue both for undertaking assisted migration (on the basis of possible extinction which forms an irreversible loss of biodiversity) and not undertaking assisted migration (on the basis of unforeseeable and possibly irrevocable damage to the recipient ecosystem).

  8. Noteworthy is also that risks per se change the decision-making situation. They bring about new morally relevant features (such as the distinction between voluntary risk taking and involuntary risk exposure) that need to be included in the full ethical evaluation. Morally relevant features related to voluntariness, consent, intent and fairness appear not to be adequately taken into account in the standard decision-theoretic approaches (see e.g. Hansson 2007).

  9. Scientific uncertainty complicates policy in many ways. Lemons (1996) identified three problems: First, uncertainty is not made explicit in many calculations of risk and advantage so that statements may appear unjustifiably factual. Second, uncertainty means that the standard of proof required by many decisions is not met. Third, uncertainty can impede precautionary action and delay decisions. (See also Ascough et al. 2008; Shrader-Frechette and McCoy 1999; Stirling 2010.).

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Acknowledgments

This work is part of the Academy of Finland research project number 258144 “Constraints and Opportunities of Assisted Dispersal of Plants in Climate Change Adaptation–Biological, Legal and Ethical Analyses (CO-ADAPT)”. Helpful comments by Maria Hällfors, Elina Vaara and Helena Siipi on an earlier version of this response were much appreciated.

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Correspondence to Marko Ahteensuu.

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Ahteensuu, M., Lehvävirta, S. Assisted Migration, Risks and Scientific Uncertainty, and Ethics: A Comment on Albrecht et al.’s Review Paper. J Agric Environ Ethics 27, 471–477 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10806-014-9493-z

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Keywords

  • Assisted migration
  • Ethics
  • Risk
  • Scientific uncertainty
  • Precautionary principle