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Economic determinants of multilateral environmental agreements

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Abstract

We examine the economic factors that lead to the formation of multilateral environmental agreements, focusing on the likelihood a pair of countries enters into an agreement as well as the number of agreements they share using a near universe of agreements. Two countries are more likely to have an agreement and have more of them if they are economically larger and of similar economic size, closer in distance, have a preferential trade agreement, and trade more. Results are strongest for agreements involving a small number of countries, consistent with a hypothesis that agreements are formed to manage common pool resources.

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Notes

  1. Technically speaking, there is an exception to this principle given that a number of members of the World Trade Organization, which one can consider to be a large trade agreement, have separate agreements governing trade issues pertaining to a subset of WTO members. The North American Free Trade Agreement is one example of such an agreement. It should be noted that most papers examining various aspects of trade agreements tend to focus on the smaller trade agreements and ignore the WTO given that most countries are members of the WTO. Unlike environmental agreements, Canada, the USA, and Mexico share only one trade agreement, NAFTA. In the case they both sign the same trade agreement with additional countries, the new agreement would replace NAFTA, as would have been the case with the now abandoned (by the USA) Trans Pacific Partnership agreement. The only plausible exception of this is the European Union if one treats EU members separately, in which case it may appear that EU members may be parties to multiple trade agreements amongst each other whenever the EU itself enters into trade agreements with other countries. However, whatever concessions the EU may provide in such agreements have no effect on the trade between EU members which is free of any policy intervention due to the nature of the EU itself.

  2. The source for this data is the Transboundary Waters Assessment Programme, http://www.getwap.org.

  3. For example, when signing the North American Free Trade Agreement, Canada, Mexico, and the USA also signed a side agreement, the North American Agreement on Environmental Cooperation which stipulated that each country must enforce its environmental laws and created a dispute settlement mechanism for enforcement purposes.

  4. Analogous results for other specifications are available on request from authors.

  5. In unreported results, we estimated our specifications with contemporaneous values but with a balanced panel of countries that are observed in every single year. This also resulted in negatively estimated coefficients for trade agreements. We then split the agreement dummy variable to identify two separate types of trade agreements: one-way agreements, largely Generalized System of Preferences granted by developed countries to developing countries, and reciprocal, two-way agreements in which both parties provide the same concessions and equal market access. Those results reveal that the negative effect of the single trade agreement variable is driven by one-way agreements. One-way trade preferences are rarely granted by countries in close proximity to each other. In other words, they are rarely granted by countries that share common pool resources and are less likely to engage in environmental agreements given the distance that separates them. The estimated coefficient on reciprocal, two-way agreements is always positive and significant. These results are available on request.

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Acknowledgements

We are grateful to Ron Davies, the editor of this journal, two anonymous referees, Juan Moreno-Cruz, Dan Matisoff, and seminar participants at Appalachian State University and Hunan University for valuable comments and suggestions.

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Correspondence to Xinping Tian.

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Besedeš, T., Johnson, E.P. & Tian, X. Economic determinants of multilateral environmental agreements. Int Tax Public Finance 27, 832–864 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-019-09588-z

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