Abstract
We attempt a justification of a generalisation of the consistent histories programme using a notion of probability that is valid for all complete sets of history propositions. This consists of introducing Cox's axioms of probability theory and showing that our candidate notion of probability obeys them. We also give a generalisation of Bayes' theorem and comment upon how Bayesianism should be useful for the quantum gravity/cosmology programmes.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Aerts, D. (2002). Reality and probability: Introducing a new type of probability calculus. In Probing the Structure of Quantum Mechanics: Nonlocality, Computation and Axiomatics, D. Aerts, M. Czachor and T. Durt eds. World Scientific, Singapore, preprint: quant-ph/0205165.
Anastopoulos, C. (2004). On the relation between quantum mechanical probabilities and event frequencies. Annals Physics, 313, 368, preprint: quant-ph/0403207.
Anastopoulos, C. (2005). Classical vs quantum probability in sequential measurements. preprint: quant-ph/0509019.
Caticha, A. (1998). Consistency, amplitudes and probabilities in quantum theory. Physical Review A, 57, 1572, preprint: quant-ph/9804012.
Caticha, A. (2004). Relative entropy and inductive inference. AIP Conference Proceedings, 707, 75–96, preprint: physics/0311093.
Caticha, A. (2005). The information geometry of space and time. Preprint: gr-qc/0508108 v1.
Cox, R. T. (1961). The Algebra of Probable Inference, The Johns Hopkins University Press.
Feynman, R. P. (1987). Negative probabilities. In Quantum Implications, B. J. Hiley and F. David Peat, eds., Routledge and Kegan Paul, p. 235.
Gell-Mann, M. and Hartle, J. B. (1990). Quantum mechanics in the light of quantum cosmology. In Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on the Foundations of Quantum Mechanics in the Light of New Technology, Physical Society of Japan, Tokyo, Japan, pp. 321–343.
Goldstein, S. and Page, D. N. (1995). Linearly positive history propositions: Probabilities for a robust family of sequences of quantum events. Physical Review Letters, 74, 3715–3719, preprint: gr-qc/9403055.
Griffiths, R. B. (1984). Consistent history propositions and the interpretation of quantum mechanics. Journal of Statistical Physics, 36, 219–273.
Hartle, J. B. (1991). Excess baggage. In Elementary Particles and the Universe, J. Schwarz, ed., Cambridge University Press, updated preprint: gr-qc/0508001.
Hartle, J. B. (2004). Linear positivity and virtual probability. Physical Review A, 70, 022104, preprint: quant-ph/0401108.
Isham, C. J. (2003). Some reflections on the status of conventional quantum theory when applied to quantum gravity. In Proceedings of the Conference in Honour of Stephen Hawking's birthday, G. Gibbons ed., Cambridge University Press, preprint: quant-ph/0206090 v1.
Isham, C. J. (1994). Quantum logic and the history propositions approach to quantum theory. Journal of Mathematical Physics, 35, 2157–2185, preprint: gr-qc/9308006.
Jaynes, E. T. (2003). Probability Theory: The Logic of Science, Cambridge University Press.
Mana, P. G. L. (2004). Consistency of the Shannon entropy in quantum experiments. Physical Review A, 69, 062108, preprint: quant-ph/0302049 v5.
Marlow, T. (2006). A Bayesian account of quantum histories. Annales Physics 321, 1103–1125, preprint: quant-ph/0509149.
Marlow, T. (2006b). Relationalism vs. Bayesianism. preprint: gr-qc/0603015 v1.
Omnés, R. (1988). Logical reformulation of quantum mechanics. I. Foundations. Journal of Statistical Physics, 53, 933–955.
Poulin, D. (2005). Toy model for a relational formulation of quantum theory. preprint: quant-ph/0505081 v2.
Smolin, L. (2005). The case for background independence. preprint: hep-th/0507235.
Sorkin, R. D. (1997). Quantum measure theory and its interpretation. In Quantum Classical Correspondence: Proceedings of the 4th Drexel Symposium on Quantum Nonintegrability, D. H. Feng and B.L. Hu, eds., International Press, Cambridge Mass., preprint: gr-qc/9507057.
Youssef, S. (1994). Quantum mechanics as complex probability theory. Mod. Physics Lett A, 9, 2571.
Youssef, S. (2001). Physics with exotic probability theory. preprint: hep-th/0110253 v2. All preprints refer to the http://arxiv.org/ website
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
PACS: 02.50.Cw;03.65.Ta;04.60.-m.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Marlow, T. Bayesian Probabilities and the Histories Algebra. Int J Theor Phys 45, 1247–1257 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10773-006-9122-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10773-006-9122-3