Abstract
A meta-analysis of multiple experimental data collected monthly over two time periods, 1986–1987 and 2007–2008 demonstrated significant changes in the physical properties of the water of Lake Kariba’s Sanyati Basin. Increased lake water temperatures were noted in 6 months of the year, with a smaller decline in water temperature with increasing depth in 2007–2008 than 1986–1987; resulting in a significantly higher (by 1.5°C) mean annual value of 24.7°C. Plots of water temperature gradients against depth revealed a decline in thermocline from 10- to 15-m depth in 1986–1987 to a consistent 5-m depth in 2007–2008. Lake water pH declined significantly from a mean annual value of 7.89 in 1986–1987 to 6.96 in 2007–2008; this decrease restricted to 6 months of the year. Lake water dissolved oxygen contents in 8 months of the year, increased significantly from a mean annual value of 5.45 mg l−1 in 1986–1987 to 6.94 mg l−1 in 2007–2008, with a substantially smaller decline in dissolved oxygen content with increasing depth evident in 2007–2008 than 1986–1987. Significant higher lake water conductivities in 2007–2008 than 1986–1987 were confined to 2 autumn months. These findings are compared with those in other tropical African lakes and potential links to climate warming are discussed.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Arnell, N. W., 1999. Climate change and water resources. Global Environmental Change 9: 31–49.
Arnell, N. W., 2004. Climate change and global water resources: SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environmental Change 14: 31–52.
Baxter, R. M., M. V. Prosser, J. F. Talling & R. B. Wood, 1965. Stratification in tropical African lakes at moderate altitudes (1,500 to 2,000 m). Limnology and Oceanography 10: 510–520.
Boko, M., I. Niang, A. Nyong, C. Vogel, A. Githeko, M. Medany, B. Osman-Elasha, R. Tabo & P. Yanda, 2007. In Parry, M. L., O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden & C. E. Hanson (eds), Africa. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK: 433–467.
Bootsma, H. A. & R. E. Hecky, 1993. Conservation of the African great lakes: a limnological perspective. Conservation Biology 7: 644–656.
Bootsma, H. A. & S. E. Jorgensen, 2006. Lake Malawi/Nyasa: experience and lessons learned Brief. http://iwlearn.net/iw-projects/1665/experience-notes-and-lessons-learned/lake_malawi_nyasa_2005.pdf/view.
Chale, F. M. M., 2004. Inorganic nutrient concentrations and chlorophyll in the euphotic zone of Lake Tanganyika. Hydrobiologia 00: 1–9.
Coche, A. G., 1974. Limnological study of a tropical reservoir. In Balon, E. & A. G. Coche (eds), Lake Kariba, a man-made tropical ecosystem in Central Africa. Biological Monographs 24: 1–247.
Conway, D., et al., 2009. Rainfall and water resources variability in sub-Saharan Africa during the 20th century. Journal of Hydrometeorology 10: 41–59.
Cronberg, G., 1997. Phytoplankton in Lake Kariba. In Moreau, J. (ed.), Advances in the Ecology of Lake Kariba. University of Zimbabwe Publications, Harare, Zimbabwe: 66–101.
DeSanker, P. & C. H. D. Magadza, 2001. In McCarthy, J. J., O. F. Canziani, N. Leary, D. J. K. Docken & S. White (eds), Climate Change 2001: Impacts and Adaptations. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK: 487–531.
Ganf, G. G. & J. A. Horne, 1975. Diurnal stratification, photosynthesis and nitrogen-fixation in a shallow, equatorial lake (Lake George, Uganda). Freshwater Biology 5: 13–39.
Halbwachs, M., K. Tietze, A. Lorke & C. Mudaheranwa, 2002. Investigations in Lake Kivu (East Central Africa) after the Nyiragongo eruption of January 2002, specific study of the impact of the sub-water lava inflow on the lake stability. Final report to the International Scientific Team, SOLIDARITES, Aide Humanitaire d’Urgence, Paris, France.
Hecky, R. E., H. J. Kling, T. C. Johnson, H. A. Bootsma & P. Wilkinson, 1999. Algal and sedimentary evidence for recent changes in the water quality and limnology of Lake Malawi/Nyassa. Water quality report, Lake Malawi/Nyasa/Niassa biodiversity conservation project, SADC/GEF: 191–214.
Hecky, R. E., R. Mugidde, P. S. Ramla, M. R. Talbot & G. W. Kling, 2010. Multiple stressors cause rapid ecosystem change in Lake Victoria. Freshwater Biology 55: 19–42.
Hubble, D. S. & D. M. Harper, 2002. Nutrient control of phytoplankton production in Lake Naivasha, Kenya. Hydrobiologia 488: 99–105.
Jamu, D., M. Banda, F. Njaya & R. E. Hecky, 2011. Editorial: reconciling livelihoods and aquatic ecosystem resilience, challenges to sustainable management of the lakes of Malawi. Journal of Great Lakes 37: 3–14.
Kundzewicz, Z. W. et al., 2007. Freshwater resources and their management. In Parry, M. L. et al. (eds), Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA: 173–210.
Kunz, M. J., F. S. Anselmetti, A. Wüest, B. Wehrli, A. Vollenweider, S. Thüring & D. B. Senn, 2011. Sediment accumulation and carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus deposition in the large tropical reservoir Lake Kariba (Zambia/Zimbabwe). Journal of Geophysical Research 116: G03003. doi:10.1029/2010JG001538.
Langenberg, V. T., L. M. Mwape, K. Tshibangu, J. M. Tumba, A. A. Koelmans, R. Roijackers, K. Salonen, J. Sarvala & H. Mölsä, 2002. Comparison of thermal stratification, light attenuation and chlorophyll-a dynamics between the ends of Lake Tanganyika. Aquatic Ecosystem Health and Management 5: 255–265.
Langenberg, V. T., J.-M. Tumba, K. Tshibangu, C. Lukwesa, D. Chitamwebwa, D. Bewbwa & L. Makasa, 2008. Heterogeneity in physico-chemical and plankton community structures in Lake Tanganyika. Aquatic Ecosystem Health and Management 11: 16–28.
MacIntyre, S., 2012. Climatic variability, mixing dynamics, and ecological consequences in the African Great Lakes. In Goldman, C. R., M. Kumagai & R. D. Robarts (eds), Climatic Change and Global Warming of Inland Waters. Impacts and Mitigation for Ecosystems and Societies. John Wiley and Sons, Ltd, Chichester, UK.
Magadza, C. H. D., A. Heinenan & E. Dhlomo, 1987. Some limnochemical data from the Sanyati Basin, Lake Kariba, and the Zambezi River below the dam wall. ULKRS Bull. 1/86.
Magadza, C. H. D., E. J. Dhlomo, M. Gariromo & J. Chisaka, 1988. Chemical data for the Sanyati Bay, Lake Kariba and the Zambezi River below the Dam wall. ULKRS Bull. 1/87.
Magadza, C. H. D., 2006. Kariba reservoir: experience and lessons learned. Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management 11: 271–286.
Magadza, C. H. D., 2008. Limnology news from Zimbabwe. SILnews 52, 12-13. [Accessed online at www.limnology.org/news/silnews52.pdf] on 12 October 2009.
Magadza, C. H. D., 2010. Environmental state of Lake Kariba and Zambezi river valley: lessons learned and not learned. Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management 15: 167–192.
Magadza, C. H. D., 2011. Indications of the effects of climate change on the pelagic fishery of Lake Kariba, Zambia-Zimbabwe. Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management 16: 15–22.
Magadza, C. H. D., A. Heinenan & E. Dhlomo, 1989. Some preliminary results on the limnochemistry of Lake Kariba, with special reference to nitrogen and phosphorus. In Magadza, C. H. D. (ed.), Ecology of Lake Kariba. Vegetatio 82: 13–24.
Marshall, B. E., C. Ezekiel, J. Gichuki, O. Mkumbo, L. Sitoki, & F. Wanda, 2008. Global warming is reducing thermal stability and mitigating effects of eutrophication in Lake Victoria (East Africa). Nature Precedings. http://hdl.handle/10101/npre.2009.3726.1.
Melack, J. M., 1979. Photosynthetic rates in four tropical African fresh waters. Freshwater Biology 9: 555–571.
Moreau, J. (ed.), 1997. Advances in the ecology of Lake Kariba. University of Zimbabwe Publications, Harare, Zimbabwe: 1–10.
Moss, B., 2010. Climate change, nutrient pollution and the bargain of Dr Faustus. Freshwater Biology 55: 175–187.
Mulendema, B. C., 2000. Recent developments in the integrated management of the water resources developments in the Zambezi Basin. In Tumbare, J. J. (ed.), Management of River Basins and Dams; the Zambezi River Basin. Balkema, Rotterdam, The Netherlands: 165–168.
Ndebele-Murisa, M. R. & C. Phiri, 2008. An environmental audit report for Lake Harvest Fishing Company (Lmt.), first quarter (March 2008), Kariba, Zimbabwe.
Ndebele-Murisa, M. R., C. Musil & L. Raitt, 2010. A review of phytoplankton dynamics in tropical African lakes. South African Journal of Science 106: 13–18.
Ndebele-Murisa, M. R., E. Mashonjowa & T. Hill, 2011. The implications of a changing climate on the Kapenta fish stocks of Lake Kariba. Transactions of the Royal Society of South Africa 66: 105–119.
Ndebele-Murisa, M. R., C. F. Musil & L. M. Raitt, 2012. Phytoplankton biomass and primary production dynamics in Lake Kariba. Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management 17: 175–189.
Ndebele-Murisa, M. R., T. Hill & L. Ramsay, 2013. Testing the validity of downscaled regional climate models and the implications for the Lake Kariba fishery. Thematic Issue: Climate change risk management in Africa. Journal of Environmental Development 5: 109–130.
O’Reilly, C. M., S. R. Alin, P. -D. Plisnier, A. S. Cohen & B. A. MaKee, 2003. Climate change decreases aquatic ecosystem productivity of Lake Tanganyika, Africa. Nature 424: 766–768.
Odada, E. O., D. O. Olago & W. O. Ochola, 2006. Environment for development: an ecosystem assessment of Lake Victoria basin environmental and socio-economic status, trends and human vulnerabilities, UNEP/PASS.
Ogutu-Ohwayo, R. & J. S. Balirwa, 2006. Management challenges of freshwater fisheries in Africa. Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management 11: 215–226.
Okoth, O. E., M. Mucai, W. A. Shivoga, S. N. Miller, J. Rasowo & C. C. Ngugi, 2009. Spatial and seasonal variation in phytoplankton community structure in alkaline-saline Lake Nakuru, Kenya. Lakes and Reservoirs: Research and Management 14: 57–69.
Olaka, L. A., E. O. Odada, M. H. Trauth & D. O. Olago, 2010. The sensitivity of east African rift lakes to climate fluctuations. Journal of Paleolimnology 44: 629–644.
Osumo, W. M., 2001. Effects of Water Hyacinth on Water Quality of Winam Gulf, Lake Victoria, Final Project Report 2001. UNU-Fisheries Training Programme, Iceland: 1–37.
Plisnier, P.-D., 2000. Recent climate and limnology changes in Lake Tanganyika. Internationale Vereinigung für Theoretische und Angewandte Limnologie 27: 1–4.
Plisnier, P. -D., 2004. Probable impact of climate and ENSO on Lake Tanganyika. Bulletin des Séances de l’Académie royale des Sciences d’Outre-mer 50: 185–196.
Raini, J. A., 2006. Long-term trends in water quality, water quantity and biodiversity at Lake Nakuru, Kenya. In Odada, E. O., D. O. Olago, W. Ochola, M. Ntiba, S. Wandiga, N. Gichuki & H. Oyieke (eds), Proceedings of the 11th world lakes conference, Nairobi, Kenya, 31 October to 4th November 2005: 57–62.
Sarmento, H., M. Isumbisho & J. P. Descy, 2006. Phytoplankton ecology of Lake Kivu (Eastern Africa). Journal of Plankton Research 28: 815–829.
Sarvala, J., V. T. Langenberg, K. Salonen, D. Chitamwebwa, G. W. Coulter, T. Huttula, R. Kanyaru, P. Kotilainen, L. Makasa, N. Mulimbwa & H. Mölsä, 2006a. Fish catches from Lake Tanganyika mainly reflect changes in fishery practices, not climate. Verhandlungen des Internationalen Verein Limnologie 29: 1182–1188.
Sarvala, J., V. T. Langenberg, K. Salonen, D. Chitamwebwa, G. W. Coulter, T. Huttula, P. Kotilainen, N. Mulimbwa & H. Mölsä, 2006b. Changes in dissolved silica and transparency are not sufficient evidence for decreased primary productivity due to climate warming in Lake Tanganyika. Internationale Vereinigung für Theoretische und Angewandte Limnologie 29: 2339–2342.
Skowron, R., 2007. The thermocline layer in the thermal water structure of selected Polish lakes. Limnological Review 7: 161–169.
Stenuite, S., S. Pirlot, M. A. Hardy, H. Sarmento, A. L. B. Tarbe, B. Leporcq & J. P. Descy, 2007. Phytoplankton production and growth rate in Lake Tanganyika: evidence of a decline in primary productivity in recent decades. Freshwater Biology 52: 2226–2239.
Tierney, J. E., M. T. Mayes, N. Meyer, C. Johnson, W. Swarzenski, A. S. Cohen & J. M. Russell, 2010. Late-twentieth-century warming in Lake Tanganyika unprecedented since AD500. Nature GeoScience 3: 422–425.
Troell, M. & H. Berg, 1997. Cage fish farming in the tropical Lake Kariba, Zimbabwe: impact and biogeochemical changes in sediment. Aquaculture Research 28: 527–544.
Tumbare, J. M., 2008. Managing Lake Kariba sustainably: threats and challenges. Managing Lake Kariba sustainably. Zambezi River Authority Report No. 731: 1–9.
Urama, K. C. & N. Ozor, 2010. Impacts of climate change on water resources in Africa: the Role of Adaptation. African Technology Policy Studies Network (ATPS). [http://www.ourplanet.com/climate-adaptation/Urama_Ozorv.pdf]. Accessed on 12 January 2011.
Verburg, P. & R. E. Hecky, 2009. The physics of the warming of Lake Tanganyika by climate change. Limnology and Oceanography 54: 2418–2430.
Verburg, P., R. E. Hecky & H. Kling, 2003. Ecological consequences of a century of warming in Lake Tanganyika. Science 301: 505–507.
Verburg, P., R. E. Hecky & H. Kling, 2007. Climate warming decreased primary productivity in Lake Tanganyika, inferred from accumulation of dissolved silica and increased transparency. Verhandlungen des Internationalen Verein Limnologie 29: 2335–2338.
Vollmer, M. K., R. F. Weiss & H. A. Bootsma, 2002. Ventilation of Lake Malawi. In Odada, E. O. & D. O. Olago (eds), The East African Great Lakes: Limnology, Paleolimnology and Biodiversity. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands: 209–233.
Vollmer, M. K., H. A. Bootsma, R. E. Hecky, G. Patterson, J. D. Halfman, J. M. Edmond, D. Eccles & R. F. Weiss, 2005. Deep-water warming trend in Lake Malawi, East Africa. Limnology and Oceanography 50: 727–732.
Ward, L., 1979. Seiches, tides, and wind set-up on Lake Kariba. Limnology and Oceanography 24: 151–157.
Wood, R. B., M. V. Prosser & R. M. Baxter, 1976. The seasonal pattern of thermal characteristics of four of the Bishoftu crater lakes, Ethiopia. Freshwater Biology 6: 519–530.
Acknowledgments
We would like to sincerely thank Prof. Magadza for providing comprehensive measurements of lake water physical properties taken during 1986 and 1987. We acknowledge the financial sponsorship of UNESCO Keizo-Obuchi Research Fund/Swedish International Development Agency (SIDA) 2006/2007 Cycle in Environmental Studies and the assistance of University Lake Kariba Research Station and UZ-VLIR-UOS Aquatic Ecology project, Biological Sciences Department and the Tropical Resource Ecology Program of the University of Zimbabwe for lake water sampling and laboratory analyses. We also thank the two anonymous reviewers who provided valuable comments on the original manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Handling editor: Begoña Santos
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Ndebele-Murisa, M.R., Musil, C.F., Magadza, C.H.D. et al. A decline in the depth of the mixed layer and changes in other physical properties of Lake Kariba’s water over the past two decades. Hydrobiologia 721, 185–195 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-013-1660-0
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-013-1660-0