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Land-use Change Modeling in a Brazilian Indigenous Reserve: Construction of a Reference Scenario for the Suruí REDD Project

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Abstract

Interactions of indigenous peoples with the surrounding non-indigenous society are often the main sources of social and environmental changes in indigenous lands. In the case of the Suruí in Brazilian Amazonia’s “arc of deforestation,” these influences are leading to deforestation and logging that threaten both the forest and the sustainability of the group’s productive systems. The Suruí tribal leadership has initiated a proposal for an economic alternative based on Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD). This has become a key case in global discussions on indigenous participation in REDD. The realism of the baseline scenario that serves as a reference for determining the amount of deforestation and emissions avoided by the proposed project is critical to assuring the reality of the carbon benefits claimed. Here we examine the SIMSURUI model, its input parameters and the implications of the Suruí Forest Carbon Project for indigenous participation in climate mitigation efforts.

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Acknowledgments

The Institute for the Conservation and Sustainable Development of Amazonas (IDESAM), CAPES and AgroParisTech/ANR Prigoue provided successive Ph.D. fellowships for the first author. We thank the following NGO partners of the SFCP project for providing input data: Metareilá, which provided the 2009 socioeconomic census data, IDESAM and the Amazon Conservation Team-Brazil, which provided the data on Suruí financial investments, and Kanindé, which provided information about historical LULCC. We are grateful to Forest Trends for supporting Suruí participative workshops. The authors thank the Suruí leaders for their participation in the construction of LULCC baseline. CNPq (305880/2007-1, 143399/2008-0, 563315/2008-3, 575853/2008-5, 573810/2008-7) provided financial support.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. National Institute for Research in Amazonia (INPA), Av. André Araújo, 2936, 69060-000, Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil

    Claudia Suzanne Marie Nathalie Vitel, Paulo Mauricio Lima A. Graça & Philip Martin Fearnside

  2. Institute for the Conservation and Sustainable Development of Amazonas (IDESAM), Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil

    Gabriel Cardoso Carrero & Mariano Colini Cenamo

  3. Environmental Management of Tropical Forest Ecosystems, AgroParisTech, Montpellier, France

    Claudia Suzanne Marie Nathalie Vitel & Maya Leroy

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  1. Claudia Suzanne Marie Nathalie Vitel
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  2. Gabriel Cardoso Carrero
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  3. Mariano Colini Cenamo
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  4. Maya Leroy
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  5. Paulo Mauricio Lima A. Graça
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  6. Philip Martin Fearnside
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Correspondence to Philip Martin Fearnside.

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Vitel, C.S.M.N., Carrero, G.C., Cenamo, M.C. et al. Land-use Change Modeling in a Brazilian Indigenous Reserve: Construction of a Reference Scenario for the Suruí REDD Project. Hum Ecol 41, 807–826 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-013-9613-9

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