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AI-Driven Prediction of Tunneling Squeezing: Comparing Rock Classification Systems

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Abstract

Understanding tunneling-induced ground deformation, particularly squeezing behavior, is crucial for safe and efficient underground construction. This study employs Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) models to predict tunneling squeezing behavior using various rock classification systems, namely rock quality index (Q), rock mass rating (RMR), and geological strength index (GSI). The objective is to assess model performance, evaluate the influence of classification systems, and conduct sensitivity analyses on key parameters. The investigation reveals that both ANN and MARS models exhibit enhanced accuracy as model complexity increases, up to a critical point where overfitting occurs. Comparing model performance, ANN outperforms MARS, and the most accurate ANN model is identified as ANN50-RMR with an R2 of 0.978. This confirms the ANN’s capability to capture non-linear relationships inherent in tunneling-induced ground deformation. Choosing a rock classification system as an input parameter significantly impacts model accuracy. RMR and GSI classification systems exhibit improved performance over the conventional Q-system. In particular, GSI-based models offer more consistent and accurate predictions, emphasizing GSI’s suitability for modeling tunneling squeezing behavior. Variables’ importance analysis elucidates the dependence of parameter relevance on the chosen classification system. Sensitivity analyses on tunnel depth, diameter, and rock mass deformation modulus reveal logical correlations between these parameters and tunnel squeezing behavior, further validating model predictions. By enhancing our understanding of tunneling-induced ground deformation, these models contribute to safer and more efficient underground construction practices.

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Data availability

The datasets used in the current study are available from the corresponding author.

Abbreviations

GSI:

Geological Strength Index

Q:

Rock tunneling quality index

RMR:

Rock Mass Rating

RQD:

Rock quality designation number

SRF:

Stress reduction factor

UCS:

Uniaxial compressive strength

NLR:

Nonlinear regression

ANN:

Artificial Neural Network

V :

The numerical neuron value

g :

Activation function

b:

The bias

w :

Weight matrix

x :

Input matrix

X :

Number of variables

MARS:

Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines

SVM:

Support Vector Machines

RMSE:

Root Mean Square Error

R2 :

Coefficient of Determination

SI:

Scatter Index

VAF:

Variance Accounted For

U95:

Uncertainty (95% confidence interval)

Tstat:

T-statistic

qi :

Value of i quarter from the dataset

Std. Dev.:

Standard deviation

π:

Archimedes’ Constant (ratio of the circumference of a circle to its diameter) = 22/7

ε:

Normalized tunnel convergence or squeezing strain

H:

Tunnel depth

D:

Tunnel diameter

K:

Tunnel support stiffness

NEA:

Nepal Electric Authority

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The authors declare that no funds or grants were received during the preparation of this manuscript.

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Correspondence to Zaid A. Al-Sadoon.

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Al-Sadoon, Z.A., Alotaibi, E., Omar, M. et al. AI-Driven Prediction of Tunneling Squeezing: Comparing Rock Classification Systems. Geotech Geol Eng 42, 2127–2149 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10706-023-02665-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10706-023-02665-5

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