Abstract
Promoting corporate carbon reduction is key to achieving sustainable development, and carbon trading policies are important institutional choices for governments of various countries to promote green development and actively respond to climate change. This paper constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model involving the government, high-carbon emission manufacturers and carbon quota suppliers, and subsequent simulation analyses were conducted. The main results of the study are as follows: (1) The evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS) of the three stakeholders is as follows: loose regulation by the government, active emission reduction by manufacturers, and in-chain trading by suppliers. (2) The increase of excess carbon emissions inhibits manufacturers’ choice of active emission reduction and suppliers’ choice of in-chain trading and promotes the government’s choice of strict regulation. Strict government regulation can improve the degree of cooperation between manufacturers and suppliers to achieve carbon reduction targets at a faster speed. (3) There is a critical value for the probability of manufacturers actively reducing emissions. Above this critical value, suppliers tend to choose off-chain transactions, otherwise, suppliers tend to choose in-chain transactions. The results of this study can serve as a reference for the decarbonization path of supply chain member enterprises and offer valuable suggestions for the government to achieve a low-carbon society.
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This work was supported by the National Social Science Fund of China (Grant no. 18BGL182).
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Wei Jie provided the direction and gave guidance to the paper. Li Yining conducted the analysis of the evolutionary game and data simulation, and was a major contributor to the manuscript writing. Liu Yushun determined the content including background, object, method of the research in the early stage of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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Wei, J., Li, Y. & Liu, Y. Tripartite evolutionary game analysis of carbon emission reduction behavior strategies under government regulation. Environ Dev Sustain (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-04972-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-04972-0