Environment, Development and Sustainability

, Volume 13, Issue 1, pp 65–78 | Cite as

Scenarios of the old industrial regions’ development: selecting the methodology

  • Valentine Vishnevsky
  • Ivan Aleksandrov
  • Alexey PolovyanEmail author


Management of the old industrial regions’ development is a very actual problem, in particular for the post-Soviet countries. It is connected with the fact that the purposes of manufacture modernization which provide employment and incomes of the population of such regions, can contradict requirements of environmental protection. Here the most different scenarios of development are possible which need to be evaluated. Usual neoclassical criteria for this purpose do not match. Therefore, in our paper, there was a task to develop such criterion which can be used for regulation of the old industrial regions’ development taking into account the environmental factor. The paper begins with construction of regional economy model. Our model based on the J. Forrester's “world model” idea, i.e. it considers the influence of environmental pollution (atmosphere, water, earth) on the population disease level, and then—on the lifetime and the human capital; the latter ones are considered as one of the most important factors of the economic growth. On the ground of this model, the consequences for realization of different scenarios of the regional economy development are estimated. To substantiate the regulation of regional economy, the criterion of sustainable development, based on the idea of simultaneous improvement of economic and ecological parameters, is offered. The main feature of the criterion offered is that, first of all, it guarantees simultaneous improvement of each of the chosen indicators of the region’s development, and, second, allows considering interests of various coalition groups by finding realistic compromises at a choice of ways of old industrial regions’ development.


Sustainability Old industrial regions System dynamics Scenario Criterion of sustainable development 


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  • Valentine Vishnevsky
    • 1
  • Ivan Aleksandrov
    • 2
  • Alexey Polovyan
    • 2
    Email author
  1. 1.Department of Financial and Economic Problems of the Industrial Potential DevelopmentThe Institute for the Industrial Economy of the National Academy of Sciences of UkraineDonetskUkraine
  2. 2.Department of the Economic and Ecological ResearchThe Institute for the Industrial Economy of the National Academy of Sciences of UkraineDonetskUkraine

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