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Table 6 Estimation results for women I/II

From: See you soon: fixed-term contracts, unemployment and recalls in Germany—a linked employer–employee analysis

Variable

Recall

New firm

Single risk

Education

No Vocational training

(–)

(–)

(–)

Vocational training

− 0.147 (0.098)

0.123** (0.049)

0.066 (0.044)

University degree

− 0.285** (0.130)

0.140** (0.055)

0.069 (0.050)

Task level

Auxiliary activity

(–)

(–)

(–)

Trained clerk

− 0.061 (0.077)

0.158*** (0.040)

0.111*** (0.036)

Specialist/expert

− 0.275** (0.122)

0.170*** (0.050)

0.104** (0.046)

Previous empl. in years

− 0.064*** (0.010)

0.034*** (0.002)

0.024*** (0.002)

Age category

25–34

(–)

(–)

(–)

35–44

0.179** (0.088)

− 0.209*** (0.034)

− 0.162*** (0.032)

45–54

0.070 (0.094)

− 0.363*** (0.039)

− 0.310*** (0.036)

55–60

0.600*** (0.110)

− 0.506*** (0.055)

− 0.270*** (0.049)

Firm tenure in years

1–2

(–)

(–)

(–)

2–5

0.674*** (0.074)

− 0.145*** (0.030)

− 0.023 (0.028)

5–10

0.855*** (0.095)

− 0.281*** (0.046)

− 0.003239

10–15

1.072*** (0.136)

− 0.407*** (0.075)

− 0.008052

15–20

0.707*** (0.217)

− 0.521*** (0.115)

− 0.314*** (0.102)

 > 20

1.642*** (0.248)

− 0.448*** (0.152)

− 0.043 (0.130)

Wage difference

0.004 (0.083)

0.124*** (0.032)

0.115*** (0.030)

Contract type

Previous fixed-term

0.273*** (0.067)

− 0.153*** (0.027)

− 0.083*** (0.025)

Post fixed-term

− 0.349*** (0.064)

− 0.067*** (0.024)

− 0.113*** (0.023)

Migrant

0.225** (0.096)

0.027 (0.041)

0.068* (0.038)

Firm size

 < 10

(–)

(–)

(–)

10–19

− 0.115 (0.103)

− 0.035 (0.043)

− 0.035 (0.040)

20–49

− 0.068 (0.097)

0.023 (0.039)

0.013 (0.036)

50–99

− 0.176 (0.110)

0.022 (0.042)

− 0.021 (0.039)

100–199

− 0.005 (0.109)

0.054 (0.043)

0.044 (0.040)

200–499

− 0.143 (0.119)

0.005 (0.045)

− 0.034 (0.042)

500–999

− 0.188 (0.166)

− 0.004 (0.059)

− 0.033 (0.056)

1000–4999

0.164 (0.143)

− 0.178*** (0.063)

− 0.131** (0.058)

> 5000

0.955*** (0.260)

− 0.148 (0.127)

0.003 (0.114)

Unobserved heterogeneity

Probability of type 1

0.717

0.843

0.864

Probability of type 2

0.283

0.157

0.136

Log-likelihood

− 4,970,385

− 18,863,815

− 20453.913

  1. *10%, **5%, ***1%