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Droughts in Serbia through the analyses of De Martonne and Ped indices

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Abstract

Due to global warming, droughts have become one of the focal points of researchers in the field of climate and water, all over the world. The analyses in this paper include spatial pattern and temporal trend for the territory of Serbia, over the 1949–2016 period. The De Martonne aridity index and the Ped drought index have been applied. Eighteen pairs of temperature and precipitation stations all over the country have been analyzed. The obtained results show a tendency toward a drier condition, which are not yet drastic. Drought areas for the territory of Serbia are increasing, but drought intensity and frequency should certainly be lower than those predicted for the Mediterranean coastal area, except in regions with very high human water use. Comparing the obtained results from stations at the original altitude and calculated data for the same stations at fixed virtual altitudes has shown that the natural direction of drought, which decreases from west to southeast, has shifted to a north to south direction.

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Availability of data and materials

The temperature, precipitation, and other datasets used for analyses during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

To the International project MUltiHAzard framework for water related risks management (MUHA) for Adriatic-Ionian region (2020-2022), and UNESCO center II category Water for Sustainable Development and Adaptation to Climate change (WSDAC) – Belgrade, Serbia.

Funding

This research is funded by EU IPA funds for the Adrian-Ionian region, through the current MUHA Project.

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All the authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript. First author, DD wrote the paper, while first coauthor, AA, and second coauthor, MB helped in preparing spatial figures and calculations.

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Correspondence to Dejan Dimkić.

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Dimkić, D., Anđelković, A. & Babalj, M. Droughts in Serbia through the analyses of De Martonne and Ped indices. Environ Monit Assess 194, 265 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-022-09911-y

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