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Application of thresholds of potential concern and limits of acceptable change in the condition assessment of a significant wetland

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Abstract

We propose a framework in which thresholds of potential concern (TPCs) and limits of acceptable change (LACs) are used in concert in the assessment of wetland condition and vulnerability and apply the framework in a case study. The lower Murrumbidgee River floodplain (the ‘Lowbidgee’) is one of the most ecologically important wetlands in Australia and the focus of intense management intervention by State and Federal government agencies. We used a targeted management stakeholder workshop to identify key values that contribute to the ecological significance of the Lowbidgee floodplain, and identified LACs that, if crossed, would signify the loss of significance. We then used conceptual models linking the condition of these values (wetland vegetation communities, waterbirds, fish species and the endangered southern bell frog) to measurable threat indicators, for which we defined a management goal and a TPC. We applied this framework to data collected across 70 wetland storages’, or eco-hydrological units, at the peak of a prolonged drought (2008) and following extensive re-flooding (2010). At the suggestion of water and wetland mangers, we neither aggregated nor integrated indices but reported separately in a series of chloropleth maps. The resulting assessment clearly identified the effect of rewetting in restoring indicators within TPC in most cases, for most storages. The scale of assessment was useful in informing the targeted and timely management intervention and provided a context for retaining and utilising monitoring information in an adaptive management context.

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Acknowledgements

We wish to thank the many water and wetland managers who contributed their time to discussing key values and indicators of the Lowbidgee floodplain and riverine ecosystems, including James Maguire (OEH), Paul Childs (OEH), Lorraine Hardwick (NSW Office of Water), Bruce Whitehill (NSW Office of Water), Mike Maher (OEH) and Sarah Imgraben (DSEWPaC). We are indebted to input and ideas from Ian Overton (CSIRO) and Tanya Doody (CSIRO). M.J.C. acknowledges the support of the CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country National Research Flagship. Jennifer Spencer (OEH) was responsible for the frog conceptual model published as Figure 4 and provided helpful comments on the manuscript.

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Rogers, K., Saintilan, N., Colloff, M.J. et al. Application of thresholds of potential concern and limits of acceptable change in the condition assessment of a significant wetland. Environ Monit Assess 185, 8583–8600 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-013-3197-0

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