Skip to main content

Simulation and evaluation on the eco-industrial system of Changchun economic and technological development zone, China

Environmental Monitoring and Assessment volume 139, pages 339–349 (2008)Cite this article

Abstract

Reasonable structure, adaptive patterns and effective regulation of society, economy and environment subsystems should be taken into account in order to obtain harmonious development of urban eco-industrial system. We simulated and evaluated a redesigned eco-industrial system in Changchun Economic and Technological Development Zone (CCETDZ) in the present work using system dynamics and grey cluster methods. Four typical development strategies were simulated during 2005–2020 via standard system dynamic models. Furthermore, analytic hierarchy process and grey cluster allowed for the eco-industrial system evaluation and scenarios optimizing. Our dynamic simulation and statistical analysis revealed that: (1) CCETDZ would have different development scenarios under different strategies. The total population in scenario 2 grew most rapidly and reached 3.28 × 105 in 2020, exceeding its long-term planning expected population. And the GDP differences among these four scenarios would amount to 6.41 × 1010 RMB. On the other hand, environmental pollution would become serious along with economy increasing. As a restriction factor, positive or negative increment of water resource will occur according to the selected strategy. (2) The fourth strategy would have the best efficiency, which means that the most efficiently development of CCETDZ required to take science, technology, environment progress and economy increase into account at the same time. (3) Positive environment protection measures, such as cleaner production, green manufacture, production life cycle management and environment friendly industries, should be attached great importance the same as economy development during 2005–2020 in CCETDZ.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.

Access options

Buy single article

Instant access to the full article PDF.

43,34 €

Price includes VAT (Finland)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Reference

  • Audra, J., & Potts, C. (1998). Choctaw eco-industrial park: An ecological approach to industrial land-use planning and design. Landscape and Urban Planning, 42, 239–257.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bailey, R., Bras, B., & Allen, J. K. (2000). Using response surfaces to improve the search for satisfactory behavior in system dynamics models. System Dynamics Review, 16(2), 75–90.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Changchun Economic and Technological Development Zone Planning (2001). Changchun Environmental Protection Bureau. Changchun, China: Changchun Economic and Technological Development Zone Planning.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen, D. J., Li, Y. R., Shen, J. Z., & Hu, S. Y. (2002). A MINLP model of eco-industrial parks. The Chinese Journal of Process Engineering, 2(1), 75–80.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, D. J., Li, Y. R., Shen, J. Z., & Hu, S. Y. (2004). System analysis approaches and practice of industrial ecology. Chemical Engineering, 32(4), 53–57.

    Google Scholar 

  • Deng, N. S., & Wu, F. (2002). Industrial ecology-theories and application. Beijing: Chemical Industry.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eilering, J. A. M., & Vermeulen, W. J. V. (2004). Eco-industrial parks: Toward industrial symbiosis and utility sharing in practice. Progress in Industrial Ecology, 1, 245–270.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fang, Y. P., Cote, R. P., & Rong, Q. (2007). Industrial sustainability in China: Practice and prospects for eco-industrial development. Journal of Environmental Management (in press).

  • Gibbs, D. (2003). Ecological modernization and local economic development: The growth of eco-industrial development initiatives. International Journal of Environmental and Sustainable Development, 2(3), 250–266.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heeres, R. R., Vermeulen, W. J. V., & Walle, F. B. (2004). Eco-industrial park initiatives in the USA and The Netherlands: First lessons. Journal of Cleaner Production, 12, 985–995.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huang, K., Chen, S. F., Zhou, Z. G., & Qi, X. (2004). A study on the comprehensive assessment of eco-industrial parks. Science Research Management, 25(6), 92–95.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jia, R. A., & Ding, R. H. (2002). System dynamics-analysis of feedback dynamic complexity. Beijing: Higher Education.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lambert, A. J. D., & Boons, F. A. (2002). Eco-industrial parks: Stimulating sustainable development in mixed industrial parks. Technovation, 22, 471–484.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu, S. F., Dang, Y. G., & Fang, Z. G. (2004). Theory and application of grey system. Beijing: Science.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lu, B. Y., & Zhao J. Z. (2001). Ecological industrial garden: An ideal model of sustainable development. Environmental Science, 22(2), 1–6.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Luo, H., Meng, W., & Ran, H. S. (2004). Eco-industrial park – Theories and application. Beijing: Chemical Industry.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ma, J. J., Cheng, J. X., Zhang Z. J., & Wang, B. D. (2004). Study on coupling question and actualize approach in the construction of eco-industrial park. Advance in Earth Sciences, 19(Suppl), 482–486.

    Google Scholar 

  • Perry, P. J., Yang, W., & Ong, B. L. (2004). Applying ecosystem concepts to the planning of industrial areas: A case study of Singapore’s Jurong Island. Journal of Cleaner Production, 12, 1011–1023.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas, S., & Thomas, O. (2004). The industrial region as a promising unit for eco-industrial development – Reflections, practical experience and establishment of innovative instruments to support industrial ecology. Journal of Cleaner Production, 12, 947–965.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, J. F., Ma, W. J., Hu, S. Y., Luo, H., Jing, C., & Li, R. W. (2004). Planning of Changsha Huangxing eco-industrial park. Computers and Applied Chemistry, 21(1), 48–50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, Z. H., & Yin, J. H. (2005). Research on operation pattern of industrial symbiosis network in eco-industrial park. China Soft Science, 2, 80–85.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, L. M., Zhang, J. T., & Ni, W. D. (2005a). Simulation and adjustment of system dynamics on power plant eco-industrial park. Systems Engineering – Theory and Practice, 7, 117–124.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, L. M., Zhang, J. T., & Ni, W. D. (2005b). Emergy evaluation of eco-industrial park with power plant. Ecological Modeling, 189, 233–240.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, Y. P., Duan, N., Qiao, Q., & Liu, J. Y. (2004). Study on industrial symbiosis chain and net structure of the all new type ecosystem industrial parks – The design analysis of the Shihezi national eco-industrial park in Xinjiang. China Population, Resources and Environment, 14(2), 125–130.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yuan, B. J., Wang, X. Y., Zhang, B., & Huang, J. (2004). Theory and control mechanism of eco-industrial parks. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 24(11), 2501–2508.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, D. W., Hu, S. Y., Chen, T. J., Zhang, D. W., Yang, L., & Hu, S. Y. (2005). Evaluation on eco-industrial system. The Chinese Journal of Process Engineering, 5(6), 654–658.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Zhao, Y. P., Zhu, Q. H., & Geng, Y. (2004). Evaluation on sustainable development of industrial park based on ecological carrying capacity. Studies in Science of Science, 22, 56–70.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhu, Q. H., & Cote, R. P. (2004). Integrating green supply chain management into an embryonic eco-industrial development: A case study of the Guitang Group. Journal of Cleaner Production, 12, 1025–1035.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Affiliations

  1. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agricultural Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun, 130012, China

    Yan Zhao

  2. College of Urban and Environmental Science, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, 130024, China

    Jin-cheng Shang, Chong Chen & He-nan Wu

Authors
  1. Yan Zhao
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Jin-cheng Shang
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Chong Chen
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. He-nan Wu
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Jin-cheng Shang.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Zhao, Y., Shang, Jc., Chen, C. et al. Simulation and evaluation on the eco-industrial system of Changchun economic and technological development zone, China. Environ Monit Assess 139, 339–349 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-007-9840-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-007-9840-x

Keywords

  • Grey cluster
  • Simulation and evaluation of eco-industrial system
  • System dynamics