Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Capital Accumulation and Resource Depletion: A Hartwick Rule Counterfactual

  • Published:
Environmental and Resource Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

How much produced capital would resource-abundant countries have today if they had actually followed the Hartwick Rule (invest resource rents in other assets) over the last 30 years? We employ time series data on investment and rents on exhaustible resource extraction for 70 countries to answer this question. The results are striking: Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, and Gabon would all have as much produced capital as South Korea, while Nigeria would have five times its current level. A specific rule for sustainability – maintain positive constant genuine investment – is shown to lead to unbounded consumption.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Asheim G. and Buchholz W. (2004). A General Approach to Welfare Measurement Through National Income Accounting. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 106: 361–384

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Asheim G. B., Buchholz W. and Withagen C. (2003). The Hartwick Rule: Myths and Facts. Environmental and Resource Economics 25: 129–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • (2001). Resource Abundance and Economic Development. WIDER Studies in Development Economics. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Bohm, B., A. Gleiss, M. Wagner and D. Ziegler (2002), `Dissagregated capital stock estimation for Austria -- methods, concepts and results', Applied Economics 34, 23--37

    Google Scholar 

  • Collins, S. M. and B. P. Bosworth (1996), ‘Economic Growth in East Asia: Accumulation versus Assimilation’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2, 135–203

  • (1979). Economic Theory and Exhaustible Resources. Cambridge University Press, Welwyn

    Google Scholar 

  • Dixit A., Hammond P. and Hoel M. (1980). On Hartwick’s Rule for Regular Maximin Paths of Capital Accumulation and Resource Depletion. Review of Economic Studies XLVII: 551–556

    Google Scholar 

  • Ferreira S. and Vincent J. (2005). Genuine Savings: Leading Indicator of Sustainable Development?. Economic Development and Cultural Change 53: 737–754

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton K. (2001). The Sustainability of Extractive Economies. In: Auty, R. (eds) Resource Abundance and Economic Development, pp. OUP, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton K. and Bolt K. (2004). Resource Price Trends and Development Prospects. Portuguese Economic Journal 3: 85–97

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton K. and Clemens M. (1999). Genuine Savings Rates in Developing Countries. World Bank Economic Review 13(2): 333–356

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton K. and Hartwick J. M. (2005). Investing Exhaustible Resource Rents and the Path of Consumption. Canadian Journal of Economics 38(2): 615–621

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton, K. and C. Withagen (forthcoming), ‘Savings Growth and the Path of Utility’, Canadian Journal of Economics.

  • Hartwick J. M. (1977). Intergenerational Equity and the Investing of Rents from Exhaustible Resources. American Economic Review 66: 972–974

    Google Scholar 

  • Hartwick J. M. (1993). Notes on Economic Depreciation of Natural Resource Stocks and National Accounting. In: Franz, A. and Stahmer, C. (eds) Approaches to Environmental Accounting, pp. Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg

    Google Scholar 

  • Lange G.-M. and Wright M. (2004). Sustainable Development in Mineral Economies: The Example of Botswana. Environment and Development Economics 9(4): 485–505

    Google Scholar 

  • Mas, Matilde, Francisco Perez and Ezequiel Uriel (2000), `Estimation of the stock of capital in Spain,' Review of Income and Wealth 46:1, 103--16

    Google Scholar 

  • Pezzey, J. (1989), ‘Economic Analysis of Sustainable Growth and Sustainable Development’, Environment Dept. Working Paper No. 15. Washington: The World Bank

  • Pezzey J. (2004). Exact Measures of Income in a Hyperbolic Economy. Environment and Development Economics 9(4): 473–484

    Google Scholar 

  • Pritchett L. (2000). The Tyranny of Concepts: CUDIE (Cumulated, Depreciated, Investment Effort) is not Capital. Journal of Economic Growth 5(December): 361–384

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sachs, J. and A. Warner (1995), ‘Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth’, Development Discussion Paper No. 517a, Harvard Institute for International Development

  • Sarraf, M. and M. Jiwanji (2001), ‘Beating the Resource Curse: The Case of Botswana’, Environment Department Working Papers, Environmental Economics Series No. 83. Washington: The World Bank

  • Solow R. (1974). Intergenerational Equity and Exhaustible Resources. Review of Economic Studies 41: 29–45

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Solow R. (1986). On the Intergenerational Allocation of Natural Resources. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 88(1): 141–149

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vincent J., Panayotou T. and Hartwick J. (1997). Resource Depletion and Sustainability in Small Open Economies. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 33: 274–286

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ward, M. (1976), The Measurement of Capital. The Methodology of Capital Stock Estimates in OECD Countries, OECD, Paris

  • Weitzman M. and Löfgren K.-G. (1997). On the Welfare Significance of Green Accounting as Taught by Parable. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 32: 139–153

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • (2004). World Development Indicators 2005. The World Bank, Washington

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kirk Hamilton.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Hamilton, K., Ruta, G. & Tajibaeva, L. Capital Accumulation and Resource Depletion: A Hartwick Rule Counterfactual. Environ Resource Econ 34, 517–533 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-006-0011-2

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-006-0011-2

Key words

JEL classifications

Navigation