Skip to main content
Log in

Cognitive Bias in the Laboratory Security Market

  • Published:
Computational Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The Efficient Market Hypothesis has been a kind of pivot both for academic research and for policy making concerning stock market for the last decades. But this hypothesis recently keeps being criticized both from archival and experimental viewpoints. In this paper we also criticized it based on psychological experiment. Concretely we show that the appearance of three kinds of cognitive bias has a possibility in real stock markets and we also demonstrate that even information efficiency is a kind of problem concerning human psychology. We conclude that government disclosure policy of stock market must take psychological aspect of investors into consideration.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ball R. (1978) Anomalies in relationships between securities’ yields and yield surrogates. Journal of Financial Economics 6: 103–126. doi:10.1016/0304-405X(78)90026-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bloomfield R. (1996) Quotes, prices, and estimates in a laboratory market. The Journal of Finance 51: 1791–1808. doi:10.2307/2329538

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bloomfield R., Libby R. (1996) Market reaction to differentially available information in the laboratory. Journal of Accounting Research 34: 183–207. doi:10.2307/2491499

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama E. (1970) Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. Journal of Finance 25: 383–417

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama E. (1995) Size and look-to-market factors in earnings and returns. Journal of Finance 50: 131–155. doi:10.2307/2329241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama E. (1996) Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies. Journal of Finance 51: 55–84. doi:10.2307/2329302

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama E., French K. R. (1993) Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics 33: 3–56. doi:10.1016/0304-405X(93)90023-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Glosten L. R., Milgrom P. R. (1985) Bit, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders. Journal of Financial Economics 14: 71–100. doi:10.1016/0304-405X(85)90044-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gonedes N., Dopuch N. (1974) Capital market equilibrium, information production, and selecting accounting techniques: Theoretical framework and review of empirical work. Journal of Accounting Research 12(Suppl.): 48–129

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirshleifer D. (2001) Investor psychology and asset pricing. The Journal of Finance 56: 1533–1597. doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00379

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirshleifer, D., & Teoh, S. H. (2001). Herd behavior and cascading in capital market: A review and synthesis. Working Paper at Ohio State University.

  • Lundholm R. J. (1991) What affects the efficiency of a market? Some answers from the laboratory. Accounting Review 66: 486–515

    Google Scholar 

  • Ou J. A., Penman S. H. (1989) Financial statement analysis and the prediction of stock returns. Journal of Accounting and Economics 14: 295–329

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Plott C. R., Sunder S. (1982) Efficiency of experimental security markets with insider information: An application of rational-expectations models. Journal of Political Economy 90: 663–698

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Plott C. R., Sunder S. (1988) Rational expectations and the aggregation of diverse information in laboratory security markets. Econometrica 56: 1085–1118. doi:10.2307/1911360

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Masatoshi Gotoh.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Yamaji, H., Gotoh, M. Cognitive Bias in the Laboratory Security Market. Comput Econ 35, 101–126 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-009-9185-3

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-009-9185-3

Keywords

Navigation