Evolution and Predictors of the Homicide Rate in Turkish Provinces: Evidence from Panel Data

Abstract

This study explores the evolution and predictors of the homicide rate in 81 Turkish provinces from 1997 to 2015. Using regression analysis, it is demonstrated that several socio-economic factors are significantly associated with the level of the homicide rate. Moreover, the effects of the socio-economic factors change when the breakdown of the homicide rate with respect to two key demographic factors, age and gender, are also incorporated into the analysis.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    See Pridemore and Trent 2010 for an excellent review of this literature.

  2. 2.

    To avoid potential heteroskedasticity instead of the level of the population, its natural logarithm is used as the independent variable.

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Acknowledgements

I thank Elif Sercen Nurcan for excellent research assistance.

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Correspondence to Ceyhun Elgin.

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Elgin, C. Evolution and Predictors of the Homicide Rate in Turkish Provinces: Evidence from Panel Data. Eur J Crim Policy Res 25, 379–390 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10610-018-9389-y

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Keywords

  • Homicide rate
  • Turkey
  • Panel data