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An agent-based approach to modeling insider threat

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Abstract

This paper describes the modeling of the potential of an organization to develop an insider threat given certain attributes of its culture. The model represents all employees of the organization and their likelihood of becoming an insider threat. Each employee is instantiated in an agent-zero construct, which accounts for affective, rational, and social behavioral influences. The main driver of behavior is the employee’s level of disgruntlement against the organization. The simulation is run over a period of 10 years and the total number of employees that exceed a certain threshold of becoming an insider threat are computed. This number is compared with survey data on work force ethics as a measure of validity of the simulation results.

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Notes

  1. Linear regression in which data are modeled using linear predictor functions and unknown model parameters are estimated from the data; non-linear regression in which observational data are modeled by a function which is a nonlinear combination of the model parameters dependent on one or more independent variables; and multiple regression focusing on the relationship between several independent or predictor variables and a dependent or criterion variable.

  2. The authors acknowledge that studies have been limited to specialized areas resulting in isolated findings where factors such as gender, background, and psychological have been omitted (Munshi 2012). Thus, it is for writing simplicity that the male pronoun will be used to identify the insider threat individual throughout this paper.

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Correspondence to John A. Sokolowski.

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Sokolowski, J.A., Banks, C.M. & Dover, T.J. An agent-based approach to modeling insider threat. Comput Math Organ Theory 22, 273–287 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10588-016-9220-6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10588-016-9220-6

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