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Table 1 Regressions (fixed effects not shown, but included in all models)

From: Identifying the effect of climate variability on communal conflict through randomization

  1 month 3 months 6 months 12 months 24 months
(Intercept) 0.54*** 0.54*** 0.53*** 0.54*** 0.54***
(0.07) (0.07) (0.07) (0.07) (0.07)
Drought 0.07 0.10* 0.11** 0.07 −0.02
(0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04)
Flood −0.00 −0.00 0.03 0.06 0.07*
(0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.03)
R 2 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19
Adj. R 2 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
Num. obs. 1728 1728 1728 1728 1728
RMSE 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36
(Intercept) 0.23** 0.30*** 0.36*** 0.44*** 0.46***
(0.07) (0.07) (0.08) (0.08) (0.08)
Drought 0.04 0.07* 0.07* 0.05 −0.03
(0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04)
Flood −0.02 −0.01 0.02 0.07* 0.09**
(0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03)
Log(# past 6-month events) 0.20*** 0.17*** 0.12*** 0.07*** 0.05***
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
R 2 0.39 0.33 0.26 0.22 0.21
Adj. R 2 0.37 0.30 0.23 0.18 0.17
Num. obs. 1698 1698 1698 1698 1698
RMSE 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.36
(Intercept) 0.27*** 0.29*** 0.32*** 0.43*** 0.47***
(0.07) (0.07) (0.08) (0.08) (0.08)
Drought 0.06 0.08* 0.09* 0.05 −0.03
(0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04)
Flood −0.01 −0.00 0.02 0.07 0.10**
(0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04)
Log(# past 12-month events) 0.15*** 0.12*** 0.09*** 0.05*** 0.04***
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
R 2 0.35 0.30 0.26 0.22 0.22
Adj. R 2 0.32 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.18
Num. obs. 1662 1662 1662 1662 1662
RMSE 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36
(Intercept) 0.28*** 0.29*** 0.32*** 0.43*** 0.48***
(0.07) (0.07) (0.08) (0.08) (0.08)
|SPI| −0.01 0.02 0.04* 0.04** 0.01
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
Log(# past 6-month events) 0.20*** 0.16*** 0.12*** 0.07*** 0.05***
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
R 2 0.39 0.33 0.26 0.22 0.21
Adj. R 2 0.37 0.30 0.23 0.18 0.17
Num. obs. 1698 1698 1698 1698 1698
RMSE 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.36
  1. *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001