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Reconciling climate-conflict meta-analyses: reply to Buhaug et al.

The Original Article was published on 27 October 2014

Abstract

A comment by Buhaug et al. attributes disagreement between our recent analyses and their review articles to biased decisions in our meta-analysis and a difference of opinion regarding statistical approaches. The claim is false. Buhaug et al.’s alteration of our meta-analysis misrepresents findings in the literature, makes statistical errors, misclassifies multiple studies, makes coding errors, and suppresses the display of results that are consistent with our original analysis. We correct these mistakes and obtain findings in line with our original results, even when we use the study selection criteria proposed by Buhaug et al. We conclude that there is no evidence in the data supporting the claims raised in Buhaug et al.

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Correspondence to Solomon M. Hsiang.

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Hsiang, S.M., Burke, M. & Miguel, E. Reconciling climate-conflict meta-analyses: reply to Buhaug et al.. Climatic Change 127, 399–405 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1276-z

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Keywords

  • Standardize Precipitation Index
  • Palmer Drought Severity Index
  • Civil Conflict
  • Intergroup Conflict
  • Contemporaneous Effect