Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Research agendas in climate studies: the case of West Antarctic Ice Sheet research

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Concern over anthropogenic climatic change has been the major driver behind the rapid expansion in climate studies in recent decades. However, research agendas revolving around other intellectual or practical problems motivate much of the work that contributes to scientific understanding of present changes in climate. Understanding these agendas and their historical development can help in planning research programs and in communicating results, and it can often elucidate the sources of disagreements between scientists pursuing differing agendas. This paper focuses on research agendas relating to the possible glaciological instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). For much of the history of this research, which dates back to International Geophysical Year traverses, WAIS instability was thought of as innate rather than climatically triggered, even as a growing program of intensive field research was heavily motivated by tentative links drawn between WAIS instability and concerns over anthropogenic climatic change. Meanwhile, climate models for many years did not countenance instability mechanisms. It is only over the past fifteen years that field glaciological research has been integrated with other forms of empirical research, and that empirical studies ofWAIS have been more closely integrated with the broader body of climate studies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Edwards (2010) discusses the history of ideas related to the legitimacy of numerical modeling in much greater depth.

References

  • Alley RB, Bindschadler RA (eds) (2001) The West Antarctic Ice Sheet: behavior and environment. Antarct Res Ser 77. AGU, Washington

    Google Scholar 

  • Belanger DO (2006) Deep freeze: the United States, the international geophysical year, and the origins of Antarctica’s age of science. University Press of Colorado, Boulder

    Google Scholar 

  • Bentley CR (1981) Glaciers and climate. Science 213:752–753

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bentley CR (1997) Rapid sea-level rise soon from West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Science 213:752–753

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bentley CR, Ostenso NA (1961) Glacial and subglacial topography of West Antarctica. J Glaciol 3:882–912

    Google Scholar 

  • Bindschadler RA, Bentley CR (2002). On thin ice? Sci Amer 287(6):98–105

    Google Scholar 

  • Bindschadler RA, King MA, Alley RB, Anandakrishnan S, Padman L (2003) Tidally controlled stick-slip discharge of a West Antarctic ice stream. Science 301:1087–1089

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Denton GH, Armstrong RL, Stuiver M (1971) The late Cenozoic glacial history of Antarctica. In: Turekian KK (ed) The late Cenozoic glacial ages. Yale University Press, New London, pp 267–306

    Google Scholar 

  • Denton GH, Hughes, T J (eds) (1981) The last great Ice Sheets. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Doel RE (2003) Constituting the postwar earth sciences: the military’s influence on the environmental sciences in the USA after 1945. Soc Stud Sci 33:635–666

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Edwards PN (2010) A vast machine: computer models, climate data, and the politics of global warming. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Hindmarsh RCA (1993) Qualitative dynamics of marine ice sheets. In: Peltier WR (ed) Ice in the climate system. Springer, New York, pp 68–99

    Google Scholar 

  • Hollin JT (1962) On the glacial history of Antarctica. J Glaciol 4:173–195

    Google Scholar 

  • Hooker DE (1958) Those astounding ice ages. Exposition, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes T (1973) Is the West Antarctic Ice Sheet disintegrating. J Geophys Res 78:7884–7910

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hughes T (1975) The West Antarctic Ice Sheet: instability, disintegration, and the initiation of ice ages. Rev Geophys Space Phys 13:502–526

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hughes T (1977) West Antarctic ice streams. Rev Geophys Space Phys 15:1–46

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hughes TJ (1981) The weak underbelly of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. J Glaciol 27:518–525

    Google Scholar 

  • Hughes T (2009) Thermal convection and the origin of ice streams. J Glaciol 55:524–536

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hughes TJ, Denton GH, Grosswald MG (1977) Was there a late-Würm Arctic Ice Sheet? Nature 266:596–602

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huybrechts P (1990) A 3-d model for the Antarctic Ice Sheet: a sensitivity study on the glacial-interglacial contrast. Clim Dynam 5:79–92

    Google Scholar 

  • Huybrechts P, Oerlemans J (1990) Response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to future greenhouse warming. Clim Dynam 5:93–102

    Google Scholar 

  • Imbrie J, Imbrie KP (1979) Ice ages: solving the mystery. Enslow Publishers, Short Hills

    Google Scholar 

  • Joughin I, Alley RB (2011) Stability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in a warming world. Nature Geosci 4:506–513

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kamb B, Engelhardt H (1991) Antarctic ice stream B: conditions controlling its motions and interaction with the climate system. In: Kotlyakov VM, Ushakov A, Glazovsky A (eds) Glaciers-Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, IAHS Publ, vol 208. IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp 145–154

    Google Scholar 

  • MacAyeal DR, Thomas RH (1979) Ross Ice Shelf temperatures support a history of ice-shelf thickening. Nature 282:703–705

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martin-Nielsen J (2012) The other Cold War: the United States and Greenland’s Ice Sheet environment, 1948–1966. J Hist Geogr 38:69–80

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martin-Nielsen J (2013) The deepest and most rewarding hole ever drilled: ice cores and the Cold War in Greenland. Ann Sci 70:47–70

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mercer JH (1968) Antarctic ice and Sangamon sea level. Int Assoc Sci Hydrol Symp 79:217–225

    Google Scholar 

  • Mercer JH (1978) West Antarctic Ice Sheet and CO2 greenhouse effect: a threat of disaster. Nature 271:321–325

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Naylor S, Dean K, Siegert M (2008) The IGY and the Ice Sheet: surveying Antarctica. J Hist Geogr 34: 574–595

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oerlemans J (1979) A model of a stochastically driven Ice Sheet with planetary wave feedback. Tellus 31: 469–477

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oerlemans J (1980) Model experiments on the 100,000-yr glacial cycle. Nature 287: 430–432

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oerlemans J (1982a) Glacial cycles and ice-sheet modelling. Clim Change 4: 353–374

    Google Scholar 

  • Oerlemans J (1982b) Response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to a climatic warming: a model study. J Climatol 2: 1–11

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oerlemans J (1989) A projection of future sea level. Clim Change 15: 151–174

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oerlemans J, van der Veen CJ (1984) Ice sheets and climate. Reidel, Boston

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Oppenheimer M (1998) Global warming and the stability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Nature 393: 325–332

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oppenheimer M, O’Neill BC, Webster M (2008) Negative learning. Clim Change 89: 155–172

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • O’Reilly J, Oppenheimer M, Oreskes N (2012) The rapid disintegration of projections: the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Soc Stud Sci 42: 709–731

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oreskes, N (ed) (2001) Plate tectonics: an insider’s history of the modern theory of the Earth. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Pattyn F (2003) A new three-dimensional higher-order thermomechanical ice sheet model: basic sensitivity, ice stream development, and ice flow across subglacial lakes. J Geophys Res. doi:10.1029/2002JB002329

  • Rignot E (1998) Fast recession of a West Antarctic glacier. Science 281: 549–551

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Robin GdeQ, Adie RJ (1964) The ice cover. In: Priestley RE, Adie RJ, Robin GdeQ (eds) Antarctic research: a review of British scientific achievement in Antarctica. Butterworths, London, pp 100–117

    Google Scholar 

  • Schoof C (2007) Ice sheet grounding line dynamics: steady states, stability, and hysteresis. J Geophys Res. doi:10.1029/2006JF000664

  • Thomas RH (1976) Thickening of the Ross Ice Shelf and equilibrium state of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Nature 259: 180–183

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas RH (1977) Calving bay dynamics and ice sheet retreat up the St. Lawrence valley. Géogr Phys Quatern 31: 347–356

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas RH, Bentley CR (1978a) The equilibrium state of the eastern half of the Ross Ice Shelf. J Glaciol 20: 509–518

    Google Scholar 

  • Thomas RH, Bentley CR (1978b) A model for the Holocene retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Quaternary Res 10: 150–170

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas RH, Sanderson TJO, Rose KE (1979) Effect of climatic warming on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Nature 277: 355–358

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Turchetti S, Dean K, Naylor S, Siegert M (2008) Accidents and opportunities: a history of the radio echo-sounding of Antarctica. Brit J Hist Sci 41: 417–444

    Google Scholar 

  • van der Veen CJ (1985) Response of a marine ice sheet to changes at the grounding line. Quaternary Res 24: 257–267

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vaughan DG (2008) West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse—the fall and rise of a paradigm. Clim Change 91: 65–79

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Warrick R, Oerlemans J (1990) Sea level rise. In: Houghton JT, Jenkins GJ, Ephraums JJ (eds) Climate change: the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 257–281

    Google Scholar 

  • Weertman J (1966) Effect of a basal water layer on the dimensions of ice sheets. J Glaciol 6: 191–207

    Google Scholar 

  • Weertman J (1974) Stability of the junction of an ice sheet and an ice shelf. J Glaciol 13: 3–11

    Google Scholar 

  • Whillans IM (1973) State of equilibrium of the West Antarctic inland ice sheet. Science 182: 476–479

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilson AT (1964) Origin of ice ages: an ice shelf theory for Pleistocene glaciation. Nature 201: 147–149

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wingham DJ, Ridout AJ, Scharroo R, Arthern RJ, Shum CK (1998) Antarctic elevation change from 1992 to 1996. Science 282: 456–458

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This article was primarily researched while the author was an associate historian at the Center for History of Physics of the American Institute of Physics (AIP). Spencer Weart and Greg Good are thanked for their support as directors of the Center. The writing of this article was supported by a Junior Research Fellowship from Imperial College London. It also benefitted from the input of Michael Oppenheimer and Jessica O’Reilly. Interviews and correspondence with Charles Bentley, Robert Bindschadler, George Denton, Terence Hughes, Philippe Huybrechts, Douglas MacAyeal, Eric Rignot, Robert Thomas, Johannes Weertman, and Duncan Wingham clarified the history substantially. Transcripts of interviews are deposited at the AIP Niels Bohr Library and Archives.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to William Thomas.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Thomas, W. Research agendas in climate studies: the case of West Antarctic Ice Sheet research. Climatic Change 122, 299–311 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0981-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0981-3

Keywords

Navigation