Climatic Change

, Volume 123, Issue 3–4, pp 583–596 | Cite as

Role of end-use technologies in long-term GHG reduction scenarios developed with the BET model

  • Hiromi Yamamoto
  • Masahiro Sugiyama
  • Junichi Tsutsui
Article

Abstract

In this study, we develop a new integrated assessment model called the BET model (Basic Energy systems, Economy, Environment, and End-use Technology Model). It is a multi-regional, global model based on Ramsey’s optimal growth theory and includes not only traditional end-use technologies but also advanced end-use technologies such as heat-pump water heaters and electric vehicles. Using the BET model, we conduct simulations and obtain the following results. (1) Advanced end-use technologies have an important role in containing carbon prices as well as GDP losses when GHG (greenhouse gas) constraints are stringent. (2) Electrification based on energy services progresses rapidly in scenarios with stringent GHG constraints. This is because electricity can be supplied by various methods of non-fossil power generation, and advanced end-use technologies can drastically improve energy-to-service efficiencies. The BET’s results indicate the importance of analyses that systematically combine environmental constraints, end-use technologies, supply energy technologies, and economic development.

Notes

Acknowledgment

We greatly appreciate the kindness of the MERGE group to make a version of the code available online, which helped us develop the BET model.

Supplementary material

10584_2013_938_MOESM1_ESM.docx (127 kb)
ESM 1(DOCX 127 kb)

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • Hiromi Yamamoto
    • 1
  • Masahiro Sugiyama
    • 1
  • Junichi Tsutsui
    • 2
  1. 1.Socioeconomic Research CenterCentral Research Institute of Electric Power IndustryTokyoJapan
  2. 2.Environmental Science Research LaboratoryCentral Research Institute of Electric Power IndustryChibaJapan

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