Systematic construction of global socioeconomic pathways using internally consistent element combinations

Table 1 Evaluation of element outcomes for challenges to mitigation or adaptation. Outcomes for agricultural productivity were interpreted as relevant for challenges to mitigation and to adaptation as detailed in Online Resource 5

Challenges:	Adaptation (horizontal axis)	Mitigation (vertical axis)
Low (value = 1)	Low outcomes: Extreme poverty, water scarcity High outcomes: Income, educational attainment, governance, innovation, agricultural productivity	Low outcomes: Population, energy intensity, carbon intensity High outcomes: Technological change, agricultural productivity
Medium (value = 2)	Any medium outcomes	Any medium outcomes
High (value = 3)	Low outcomes: Income, educational attainment, governance, innovation, agricultural productivity High outcomes: Extreme poverty, water scarcity	Low outcomes: Technological change, agricultural productivity High outcomes: Population, energy intensity, carbon intensity