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Assessing spatial associations between perceptions of landscape value and climate change risk for use in climate change planning

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Abstract

This study examines spatially referenced perceived landscape values and climate change risks collected through public participation geographic information systems for potential use in climate change planning. Using survey data from the Southern Fleurieu Peninsula, South Australia, we present a method for identifying perceived landscape values and climate change risks to describe and quantify their spatial associations. Two spatial data models—vector and raster—and two analytical methods—Jaccard coefficients and spatial cross-correlations were used to describe the spatial associations. Results indicate that perceptions of climate change risk are driven, in part, by the values people assign or hold for places on the landscape. Biodiversity and intrinsic landscape values have strong spatial association with biodiversity loss risk while recreation values have strong spatial association with riparian flooding, sea-level rise and wave action risks. Other landscape values show weak to no spatial association with perceived climate change risks. The methodology described in this research provides a mechanism for government agencies to develop place-based adaptation strategies based on these associations.

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  1. Centre for Rural Health and Community Development, University of South Australia and Enviroconnect Pty Ltd, PO Box 190, Stirling, SA, 5152, Australia

    Christopher M. Raymond

  2. School of Geography Planning and Environmental Management, University of Queensland, St. Lucia Campus, Brisbane, QLD, 4072, Australia

    Gregory Brown

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Raymond, C.M., Brown, G. Assessing spatial associations between perceptions of landscape value and climate change risk for use in climate change planning. Climatic Change 104, 653–678 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9806-9

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