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How robust is the long-run relationship between temperature and radiative forcing?

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Abstract

This paper examines the robustness of the long-run, cointegrating, relationship between global temperatures and radiative forcing. It is found that the temperature sensitivity to a doubling of radiative forcing is of the order of 2 ± 1°C. This result is robust across the sample period of 1850 to 2000, thus providing further confirmation of the quantitative impact of radiative forcing and, in particular, CO2 forcing, on temperatures.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Economics, Loughborough University, Loughborough, Leics, LE11 3TU, UK

    Terence C. Mills

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  1. Terence C. Mills
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Correspondence to Terence C. Mills.

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Mills, T.C. How robust is the long-run relationship between temperature and radiative forcing?. Climatic Change 94, 351–361 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9525-7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9525-7

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