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Modelling the impact of climate extremes: an overview of the MICE project

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Abstract

This paper provides an overview of the aims, objectives, research activities undertaken, and a selection of results generated in the European Commission-funded project entitled “Modelling the Impact of Climate Extremes” (MICE) – a pan-European end-to-end assessment, from climate model to impact model, of the potential impacts of climate change on a range of economic sectors important to the region. MICE focussed on changes in temperature, precipitation and wind extremes. The research programme had three main themes – the evaluation of climate model performance, an assessment of the potential future changes in the occurrence of extremes, and an examination of the impacts of changes in extremes on six activity sectors using a blend of quantitative modelling and expert judgement techniques. MICE culminated in a large stakeholder-orientated workshop, the aim of which was not only to disseminate project results but also to develop new stakeholder networks, whose expertise can be drawn on in future projects such as ENSEMBLES. MICE is part of a cluster of three projects, all related to European climate change and its impacts. The other projects in the cluster are PRUDENCE (Prediction of Regional Scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate Change Risks and Effects) and STARDEX (Statistical and Regional Dynamical Downscaling of Extremes for European Regions).

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK

    C. E. Hanson, M. T. J. Livermore & T. Holt

  2. Hadley Centre, Met Office, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK

    J. P. Palutikof

  3. Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystems Analysis, Geobiosphere Science Centre, Lund University, Sölvegatan 12, 223 62, Lund, Sweden

    L. Barring

  4. Department of Agronomy and Land Management, University of Florence, Piazale delle Cascine 18, 50144, Florence, Italy

    M. Bindi & M. Moriondo

  5. Instituto de Ciênca Aplicada e Tecnologia, Faculdade de Ciêncas, Universidade Lisboa, Campo Grande, 1749-016, Lisbon, Portugal

    J. Corte-Real & R. Durao

  6. National Observatory of Athens, Institute of Environmental Research & Sustainable Development, 15236, P. Penteli, Athens, Greece

    C. Giannakopoulos & P. Good

  7. Research Centre for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences, Bukowska 19, 60809, Poznan, Poland

    Z. Kundzewicz & M. Radziejewski

  8. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg, 14412, Potsdam, Germany

    Z. Kundzewicz

  9. Institute for Meteorology, Freie Universität Berlin, Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6-10, 12165, Berlin, Germany

    G. C. Leckebusch & U. Ulbrich

  10. Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, Adam Mickiewicz University, Umultowska 87, 61-614, Poznañ, Poland

    M. Radziejewski

  11. Departamento de Física, Centro de Geofísica, Colégio Luís António Verney, Universidade de Évora, R. Romão Ramalho 59, 7000, Évora, Portugal

    J. Santos

  12. Departamento de Física, Universidade de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, Quinta dos Prados, Apartado 1013, 5000-911, Vila Real, Portugal

    J. Santos

  13. Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, 106 91, Stockholm, Sweden

    P. Schlyter & I. Stjernquist

  14. Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Hallerstr. 12, 3012, Bern, Switzerland

    M. Schwarb

Authors
  1. C. E. Hanson
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  2. J. P. Palutikof
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  3. M. T. J. Livermore
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  4. L. Barring
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  5. M. Bindi
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  6. J. Corte-Real
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  7. R. Durao
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  8. C. Giannakopoulos
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  9. P. Good
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  10. T. Holt
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  11. Z. Kundzewicz
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  12. G. C. Leckebusch
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  13. M. Moriondo
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  14. M. Radziejewski
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  15. J. Santos
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  16. P. Schlyter
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  17. M. Schwarb
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  18. I. Stjernquist
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  19. U. Ulbrich
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to C. E. Hanson.

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Hanson, C.E., Palutikof, J.P., Livermore, M.T.J. et al. Modelling the impact of climate extremes: an overview of the MICE project. Climatic Change 81 (Suppl 1), 163–177 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9230-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9230-3

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