Skip to main content
Log in

Does the External Monitoring Effect of Financial Analysts Deter Corporate Fraud in China?

  • Published:
Journal of Business Ethics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We examine whether analyst coverage influences corporate fraud in China. The fraud triangle specifies three main factors, i.e. opportunity, incentive, and rationalization. On the one hand, analysts may reduce the fraud opportunity factor through external monitoring aimed at discouraging managerial misconduct, which can moderate agency problems. On the other hand, analysts may increase the fraud incentive factor by pressurizing managers to achieve short-term performance targets, which can exacerbate agency problem. In either case, the potential influence of analysts on the fraud rationalization factor may be more pronounced among firms that are more dependent on the capital market for corporate finance. Using a sample of Chinese listed firms, we show a negative association between corporate fraud propensity and analyst coverage, and that this effect is more pronounced among non-state-owned enterprises, which are more reliant on the stock market for external funding. These findings suggest that analyst coverage contributes to corporate fraud deterrence in emerging economies characterized by weak investor protection. The main policy implication is that further development of the analyst profession in emerging economies may benefit investors and strengthen business ethics.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. We gratefully appreciate the two reviewers for suggesting these additional tests, which enhance the robustness of our main findings.

References

  • Aharony, J., Lee, C., & Wong, T. (2000). Financial packaging of IPO firms in China. Journal of Accounting Research, 38(1), 103–126.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • AICPA (American Institute of Certified Public Accountants). (2002). SAS No. 99: Consideration of fraud in a financial statement audit. New York: AICPA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Allen, F., Qian, J., & Qian, M. (2005). Law, finance, and economic growth in China. Journal of Financial Economics, 77(1), 57–116.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ashforth, B., & Anand, V. (2003). The normalization of corruption in organizations. In R. Kramer & B. Staw (Eds.), Research in organizational behavior 25 (pp. 1–52). Amsterdam: Elsevier.

    Google Scholar 

  • Atuahene-Gima, K., & Li, H. (2002). When does trust matter? Antecedents and contingent effects of supervisee trust on performance in selling new products in China and the United States. Journal of Marketing, 66(3), 61–81.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ayers, B., & Freeman, R. (2000). Why do large firms’ prices anticipate earnings earlier than small firms’ prices? Contemporary Accounting Research, 17(2), 191–212.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baker, H., & Veit, E. (1998). A comparison of ethics of investment professionals: North America versus Pacific Rim nations. Journal of Business Ethics, 17(8), 917–937.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baucus, M. (1994). Pressures, opportunity, and predisposition: A multivariate model of corporate illegality. Journal of Management, 20(4), 699–721.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baucus, M., & Baucus, D. (1997). Paying the piper: An empirical examination of longer-term financial consequences of illegal corporate behavior. Academy of Management Journal, 40(1), 139–151.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baucus, M., & Near, J. (1991). Can illegal corporate behavior be predicted? An event history analysis. Academy of Management Journal, 34(1), 9–36.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beasley, M. (1996). An empirical analysis of the relation between the board of director composition and financial statement fraud. The Accounting Review, 71(4), 443–465.

    Google Scholar 

  • Beaver, W., Lambert, R., & Morse, D. (1980). The information content of security prices. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2(1), 3–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berenson, A. (2003). The number: How the drive for quarterly earnings corrupted Wall Street and corporate America. New York: Random House.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boni, L., & Womack, K. (2003). Wall Street research: Will new rules change its usefulness? Financial Analysts Journal, 59(3), 25–29.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chan, L., Karceski, J., Lakonishok, J., Sougiannis, T. (2008). ‘Balance sheet growth and the predictability of stock returns’, Working paper, University of Illinois, Champaign-Urbana.

  • Chen, H., Chen, J., Lobo, G., & Wang, Y. (2010). Association between borrower and lender state ownership and accounting conservatism. Journal of Accounting Research, 48(5), 973–1014.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, H., Chen, J., Lobo, G., & Wang, Y. (2011). Effects of audit quality on earnings management and cost of equity capital: Evidence from China. Contemporary Accounting Research, 28(3), 892–925.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, J., Cumming, D., Hou, W., Lee, E. (2014). ‘CEO accountability for corporate fraud: The role of controlling shareholders and institutional reform in China’, Working paper, York University. Available at SSRN: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2389658.

  • Chen, G., Firth, M., Gao, D., & Rui, O. (2005). Is China’s securities regulatory agency a toothless tiger? Evidence form enforcement actions. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 24(6), 451–488.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, G., Firth, M., & Rui, O. (2006). Ownership structure, corporate governance, and fraud: Evidence from China. Journal of Corporate Finance, 12(3), 424–448.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, X., Lee, C., & Li, J. (2008). Government-assisted earnings management in China. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 27(3), 262–274.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, K., & Yuan, H. (2004). Earnings management and capital resource allocation: Evidence from China’s accounting-based regulation of rights issues. The Accounting Review, 79(3), 645–665.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chung, K., & Jo, H. (1996). The impact of security analysts’ monitoring and marketing functions on the market value of firms. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 31(4), 493–512.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cohen, J., Ding, Y., Lesage, C., & Stolowy, H. (2010). Corporate fraud and managers’ behavior: Evidence from the press. Journal of Business Ethics, 95(2), 271–315.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Conyon, M., He, L. (2008). ‘CEO turnover and firm performance in China’s listed firms’, Working paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1084396.

  • Correia, M. (2009). ‘Political connections, SEC enforcement, and accounting quality’, Working paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1458478.

  • Cote, J., & Goodstein, J. (1999). A breed apart? Security analysts and herding behavior. Journal of Business Ethics, 18(3), 305–314.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cressey, D. (1953). Other people’s money: A study in the social psychology of embezzlement. Glencoe, Il: The Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davidson, W., & Worrell, D. (1988). The impact of announcements of corporate illegalities on shareholder returns. Academy of Management Journal, 31(1), 195–200.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davis, J., Schoormann, F., & Donaldson, L. (1997). Toward a stewardship theory of management. Academy of Management Journal, 22(1), 20–47.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dechow, P., Hutton, A., & Sloan, R. (2000). The relation between analysts’ long-term earnings forecasts and stock price performance following equity offerings. Contemporary Accounting Research, 17(1), 1–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dechow, P., Richardson, S., & Tuna, I. (2003). Why are earnings kinky? An examination of the earnings management explanation. Review of Accounting Studies, 8(2–3), 355–384.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Degeorge, F., Patel, J., & Zeckauser, R. (1999). Earnings management to exceed thresholds. Journal of Business, 72(1), 1–33.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Denis, D., Hanouna, P., & Sarin, A. (2006). Is there a dark side to incentive compensation? Journal of Corporate Finance, 12(3), 467–488.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dunn, P. (2004). Impact of insider power on fraudulent financial reporting. Journal of Management, 30(3), 397–412.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dyck, A., Morse, A., & Zingales, L. (2010). Who blows the whistle on corporate fraud? Journal of Finance, 65(6), 2213–2253.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Evans, J., Hannan, R., Krishnan, R., & Moser, V. (2001). Honesty in managerial reporting. The Accounting Review, 76(4), 537–559.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Faccio, M., Masulis, R., & McConnell, J. (2006). Political connection and corporate bailouts. Journal of Finance, 61(6), 2597–2635.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fang, J., Haw, I., Yu, V., & Zhang, X. (2014). Positive externality of analyst coverage upon audit services: Evidence from China. Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting and Economics, 21(2), 2014.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Firth, M., Fung, P., & Rui, O. (2006). Corporate performance and CEO compensation in China. Journal of Corporate Finance, 12(4), 693–714.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fogarty, T., & Rogers, R. (2005). Financial analysts’ reports: An extended institutional theory evaluation. Accounting, Organization, and Society, 30(4), 331–356.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frankel, R., Kothari, S. P., & Weber, J. (2006). Determinants of the informativeness of analyst research. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 41(1–2), 29–54.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fuller, J., & Jensen, M. (2002). Just say no to wall street: Putting a stop to the earnings game. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 14(4), 41–46.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Givoly, D., & Lakonishok, J. (1979). The information content of financial analysts’ forecasts of earnings: Some evidence on semi-strong efficiency. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 1(3), 165–185.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Graham, J., Harvey, C., & Rajgopal, S. (2005). The economic implication of corporate financial reporting. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 40(1–3), 3–73.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gul, F., Kim, J., & Qiu, A. (2010). Ownership concentration, foreign shareholdings, audit quality, and stock price synchronicity: Evidence from China. Journal of Financial Economics, 95(3), 425–442.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hannan, R., Rankin, F., & Towry, K. (2006). The effect of information systems on honesty in managerial reporting: A behavioral perspective. Contemporary Accounting Research, 23(4), 885–918.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, J., McDonald, J., Messier, W., & Bell, T. (1996). A generalized qualitative-response model and the analysis of management fraud. Management Science, 42(7), 1022–1032.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Healy, P., & Palepu, K. (2001). Information asymmetry, corporate disclosre, and the capital market: A review of empirical disclosure literature. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 31(1–3), 405–440.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holmstrom, B. (1982). Moral hazard in teams. Bell Journal of Financial Economics, 13(2), 324–340.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hong, H., & Kubik, J. (2003). Analyzing the analyst: Career concerns and biased forecast. Journal of Finance, 58(1), 313–351.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IFAC (International Federation of Accountants) (2005). ‘International Standard on Auditing (ISA) 240: The auditor’s responsibility to consider fraud in an audit of financial statements’, Handbook of International Auditing, Assurance, and Ethics Pronouncements, IFAC, New York.

  • Jensen, M., & Meckling, W. (1976). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency cost, and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 305–360.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jia, C., Ding, S., Li, Y., & Wu, Z. (2009). Fraud, enforcement action, and the role of corporate governance: Evidence from China. Journal of Business Ethics, 90(4), 561–576.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jiang, G., & Wang, H. (2008). Should earnings thresholds be used as delisting criteria in stock market? Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 27(5), 409–419.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kato, T., & Long, C. (2006a). CEO turnover, firm performance, and enterprise reform in China: Evidence from micro data. Journal of Comparative Economics, 34(4), 796–817.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kato, T., & Long, C. (2006b). Executive turnover and firm performance in China. American Economic Review, 96(2), 363–367.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lang, M., Lins, K., & Miller, D. (2004). Concentrated control, analyst following, and valuation: Do analysts matter most when investors are protected least? Journal of Accounting Research, 42(3), 586–623.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liebman, B., & Milhaupt, C. (2008). Reputational sanctions in China’s securities market. Columbia Law Review, 108(4), 929–983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Linton, K. C. (2006). ‘Access to capital in China: Competitive conditions for foreign and domestic firms’, United States International Trade Commission Journal of International Commerce and Economics, 1–21.

  • Liu, S., & Lu, Z. (2007). Corporate governance and earnings management in Chinese listed companies: A tunneling perspective. Journal of Corporate Finance, 13(5), 881–906.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Matsumoto, D. (2002). Management’s incentives to avoid negative earnings surprises. The Accounting Review, 77(3), 483–514.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McKendall, M., & Wagner, J. (1997). Motive, opportunity, choice, and corporate illegality. Organization Science, 8(6), 614–647.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Michaely, R., & Womack, K. (1999). Conflict of interest and the credibility of underwriter analyst recommendations. Review of Financial Studies, 12(4), 653–686.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Morck, R., Yeong, B., & Yu, W. (2000). The information content of stock markets: Why do emerging markets have synchronous stock price movements? Journal of Financial Economics, 58(1), 215–260.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Murphy, P., & Dacin, M. (2011). Psychological pathways to fraud: Understanding and preventing fraud in organizations. Journal of Business Ethics, 101(4), 601–618.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Piotroski, J., Wong, T. J. (2011). ‘Institutions and information environment of Chinese listed firms’, Working Paper, Stanford University.

  • Schnatterly, K. (2003). Increasing firm value though detection and prevention of white-collar crime. Strategic Management Journal, 24(7), 587–614.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Szwajkowski, E. (1985). Organizational illegality: Theoretical integration and illustrative application. Academy of Management Review, 10(3), 558–567.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tsang, W. (1998). Can guanxi be a source of sustained competitive advantage for doing business in China? Academy of Management Executive, 12(2), 64–73.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tsang, J. (2002). Moral rationalization and the integration of situational factors and psychological processes in immoral behavior. Review of General Psychology, 6(1), 25–50.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Uzun, H., Szwczyk, S., & Varma, R. (2004). Board composition and corporate fraud. Financial Analyst Journal, 60(3), 33–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Veit, E., & Murphy, M. (1996). Ethics violations: A survey of investment analysts. Journal of Business Ethics, 15(12), 1287–1297.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, Z. (2012). ‘Are foreign companies listed in the US really worth more? Information asymmetry and cross-listing discount of China concept stocks’, Working Paper, Columbia University.

  • Wang, Q., Wong, T., & Xia, L. (2008). State ownership, the institutional environment, and auditor choice: Evidence from China. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 46(1), 112–134.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Watts, R., & Zimmerman, J. (1986). Positive accounting theory. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wiersema, M., & Zhang, Y. (2011). CEO dismissal: The role of investment analysts. Strategic Management Journal, 32(11), 1160–1182.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wiesenfeld, B., Wurthmann, K., & Hambrick, D. (2008). The stigmatization of devaluation of elites associated with corporate failures: A process model. Academy of Management Review, 33(1), 231–251.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wilks, T., & Zimbelman, M. (2004). Decomposition of fraud-risk assessment and auditors’ sensitivity to fraud cues. Contemporary Accounting Research, 21(3), 719–745.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xin, K., & Pearce, J. (1996). Guanxi: Connections as substitute for formal institutional support. Academy of Management Journal, 39(6), 1641–1658.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yu, F. (2008). Analyst coverage and earnings management. Journal of Financial Economics, 88(2), 245–271.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zahra, S., Priem, R., & Rasheed, A. (2005). The antecedents and consequences of top management fraud. Journal of Management, 31(6), 803–828.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We thank Lei Zhang, Wei Diao and Jiaqi Wu for their excellent research assistance.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Douglas Cumming.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chen, J., Cumming, D., Hou, W. et al. Does the External Monitoring Effect of Financial Analysts Deter Corporate Fraud in China?. J Bus Ethics 134, 727–742 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-014-2393-3

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-014-2393-3

Keywords

JEL classification

Navigation