Skip to main content

Modelling transition in land cover highlights forest losses and gains in Southeast Asia

Abstract

Forest ecosystems in Southeast Asia are currently facing multiple challenges, including threats caused by global trade or local factors such as land conversion. It is therefore crucial to have a better understanding of the mechanisms driving deforestation and forest recovery. In the present study, the losses and gains of forest were quantified over a 27 year period with 300 m-resolution land cover data and data on human population densities over 19 years covering a large area of continental Southeast Asia. The forest dynamics was characterised by different phases that were largely synchronised among countries. The rate of deforestation was related to population density in core forest but not in edge forest. In spite of different national dynamics, all countries showed two concomitant trends: a decrease in the rates of forest loss over the years, and a decrease in the impact of human population density on the rates of forest loss. The importance of local population density for deforestation in core forest have some consequences for management and forest conservation suggesting that migration and local settlements are important drivers of local deforestation in Southeast Asia.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7

References

Download references

Acknowledgements

I am grateful to four anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments on a previous version of this paper. The calculations used for data analyses benefited from the ISEM computing cluster platform. This is publication ISEM 2020-081.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Emmanuel Paradis.

Additional information

Communicated by Daniel Sanchez Mata.

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

This article belongs to the Topical Collection: Forest and plantation biodiversity.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Electronic supplementary material 1 (PDF 956 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Paradis, E. Modelling transition in land cover highlights forest losses and gains in Southeast Asia. Biodivers Conserv 29, 2539–2551 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-020-01987-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-020-01987-7

Keywords

  • Forest transition
  • Land cover
  • Southeast Asia
  • Transition model