Abstract
Peacock basses (genus Cichla) are Amazonian piscivorous fish that have been widely introduced into freshwater systems and caused great ecological impacts. Our goal was to assess the worldwide distribution of Cichla ocellaris and C. kelberi to delineate their niche and predict the most suitable areas for their invasion using data available in the scientific literature. We combined ecological niche models to identify hotspots of environmental suitability and invasion risk worldwide, in addition to niche similarity analysis in the geographic space, principal component analysis in the environmental space, and bias metric to assess niche changes between native and non-native ranges. We found 373 records (88 native and 285 non-native populations) for the occurrence of C. kelberi and C. ocellaris in several ecoregions around the world. Native populations were restricted to Amazonian and Tocantins-Araguaia ecoregions. Suitable areas for both species were concentrated within the tropical climatic zone. Amid the top 10 ecoregions more suitable for their occurrence there are four in Africa, one in Asia and also one in Brazil. The Upper Parana ecoregion deserves special highlight due to its prevalence in the number of non-native records and also of suitable areas for new invasions. There was a great increase in the Extent of Occurrence of non-native occurrences compared to native records. We found a moderate niche overlap in the geographical space and a high overlap in the environmental space between native and non-native ranges for both species, suggesting niche conservatism, but with some dissimilarity, higher for C. ocellaris.





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Acknowledgements
We thank the Graduate Courses in Neotropical Biodiversity (PPGBIO-UNIRIO). We also thank RL Macêdo for insightful contributions. This study was funded in part by the Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (postdoctoral fellowship to ACSF, E-26/202.423/2019; and research grant to LNS, E-26/202.755/2018), Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior – Brasil (CAPES) – Code 001 (master fellowship to EMCM—PPGBIO/UNIRIO/2018; postdoctoral fellowship to MSLF, PNPD-PPGBIO/UNIRIO/1808844/2018), and National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), Brazil (research grant to LNS, ref. 314379/2018-5; and support to MLL, PELD-MCF—PELD/CNPq proc. 441589/2016-2). National Institutes for Science and Technology in Ecology, Evolution and Biodiversity Conservation (INCT—EECBio) (support to MLL, MCTIC/CNpq—proc. 465610/2014-5 and FAPEG—proc. 201810267000023).
Funding
This study was funded in part by Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (postdoctoral fellowship to ACSF, E-26/202.423/2019; and research grant to LNS, E-26/202.755/2018), Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior – Brasil (CAPES) – Code 001 (master fellowship to EMCM—PPGBIO/UNIRIO/2018; and postdoctoral fellowship to MSLF, PNPD-PPGBIO/UNIRIO/1808844/2018), Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) (support to MLL, PELD-MCF—PELD/CNPq proc. 441589/2016–2; research grant to LNS, ref. 314379/2018–5), National Institutes for Science and Technology in Ecology, Evolution and Biodiversity Conservation (INCT-EECBio) (support to MLL, MCTIC/CNpq—proc. 465610/2014–5 and FAPEG—proc. 201810267000023).
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ACSF, MLL, and LNS contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation was performed by ACSF and MLL. Data analysis was performed by MLL, EMCM, and MSLF. The first draft of the manuscript was written by ACSF and MLL. MSLF and LNS commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All the authors agree with its contents.
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Franco, A.C.S., Lorini, M.L., Minsky, E.M.C. et al. Far beyond the Amazon: global distribution, environmental suitability, and invasive potential of the two most introduced peacock bass. Biol Invasions 24, 2851–2872 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-022-02814-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-022-02814-6


