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Predicting the spatial distribution of the invasive piscivorous chub (Opsariichthys uncirostris uncirostris) in the irrigation ditches of Kyushu, Japan: a tool for the risk management of biological invasions

Biological Invasions volume 12, pages 3677–3686 (2010)Cite this article

Abstract

The piscivorous chub (Opsariichthys uncirostris uncirostris) has widely invaded Kyushu Island in Japan, and its presence in irrigation ditches known as creeks around Ariake Bay has caused particular concern because various native freshwater fishes are also known to exist in the region. In order to examine the habitat characteristics that are related to its occurrence, we developed a species distribution model for piscivorous chub that inhabits creeks in the Kase river catchment by using geographic and habitat variables that were both biotic and abiotic. We then evaluated the model by using a different data set from the adjacent Chikugo river catchment. The resulting multiple logistic regression model, whose performance was supported by a high value of 0.881 for the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), indicated that the occurrence of piscivorous chub was strongly affected by the watercourse distance from the source populations in the Kase river. The model’s performance was still high (AUC = 0.792) when tested with the data set from the Chikugo river catchment. We also produced a GIS map that projects the predicted distribution of piscivorous chub across all creeks within the Kase river catchment. The result is likely to reflect the connectivity between static and lentic habitat and is not merely a question of the simple distance from the source populations. We also discuss how the potential distribution map can be applied to the management of piscivorous chub.

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Acknowledgments

We are grateful to Mr. Takenori Yamashita of Sagatochikairyouku, Mr. Hirohisa Mori and Mr. Kenji Nakajima of the Kyushu Regional Agricultural Administration Office, Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries for information on the hydrological network of the creeks. We also thank Dr Ibrahim Djamaluddin for his assistance in making GIS files, Dr Yuichi Kano for his statistical advice, and two anonymous referees for their comments on the manuscript. This work was supported by the Global Environment Research Fund (RF-075) of the Ministry of the Environment, Japan.

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Author notes

  1. Mayumi Sato

    Present address: BirdLife International, Asia Division, 2-14-6 Misaki-cho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 101- 0061, Japan

  2. Yôichi Kawaguchi

    Present address: Laboratory of Ecosystem Management, Division of Ecosystem Design, Institute of Technology and Science, The University of Tokushima, 2-1 Minami-josanjima, Tokushima, 880-8506, Japan

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Watershed Management Laboratory, Department of Urban and Environmental Engineering, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka, 819-0395, Japan

    Mayumi Sato, Yôichi Kawaguchi, Tomoyuki Okunaka, Jun Nakajima & Yukihiro Shimatani

  2. Department of Environmental Solution Technology, Faculty of Science and Technology, Ryukoku University, Seta-Oe, Otsu, Shiga, 520-2194, Japan

    Hiroki Yamanaka

  3. Faculty of Regional Studies, Gifu University, 1-1 Yanagido, Gifu, 501-1193, Japan

    Takahiko Mukai

  4. Institute of Environmental Systems, Department of Civil Engineering, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka, 819-0395, Japan

    Yasuhiro Mitani

  5. Fishery Research Laboratory, Kyushu University, Tsuyazaki 2506, Fukutsu-shi, Fukuoka, 811-3304, Japan

    Norio Onikura

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  1. Mayumi Sato
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Correspondence to Mayumi Sato.

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Sato, M., Kawaguchi, Y., Yamanaka, H. et al. Predicting the spatial distribution of the invasive piscivorous chub (Opsariichthys uncirostris uncirostris) in the irrigation ditches of Kyushu, Japan: a tool for the risk management of biological invasions. Biol Invasions 12, 3677–3686 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-010-9762-3

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