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Building damage scenarios based on exploitation of Housner intensity derived from finite faults ground motion simulations

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Abstract

In this paper earthquake damage scenarios for residential buildings (about 4200 units) in Potenza (Southern Italy) have been estimated adopting a novel probabilistic approach that involves complex source models, site effects, building vulnerability assessment and damage estimation through Damage Probability Matrices. Several causative faults of single seismic events, with magnitude up to 7, are known to be close to the town. A seismic hazard approach based on finite faults ground motion simulation techniques has been used to identify the sources producing the maximum expected ground motion at Potenza and to generate a set of ground motion time histories to be adopted for building damage scenarios. Additionally, site effects, evaluated in a previous work through amplification factors of Housner intensity, have been combined with the bedrock values provided by hazard assessment. Furthermore, a new relationship between Housner and EMS-98 macroseismic intensity has been developed. This relationship has been used to convert the probability mass functions of Housner intensity obtained from synthetic seismograms amplified by the site effects coefficients into probability mass function of EMS-98 intensity. Finally, the Damage Probability Matrices have been applied to estimate the damage levels of the residential buildings located in the urban area of Potenza. The proposed methodology returns the full probabilistic distribution of expected damage, thus avoiding average damage index or uncertainties expressed in term of dispersion indexes.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Structures, Geotechnics and Engineering Geology, University of Basilicata, Potenza, Italy

    Leonardo Chiauzzi, Angelo Masi, Marco Mucciarelli & Marco Vona

  2. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Milano, Italy

    Francesca Pacor

  3. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma, Italy

    Giovanna Cultrera

  4. Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, Università “Federico II”, Naples, Italy

    Frantisek Gallovič & Antonio Emolo

  5. Department of Geophysics, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic

    Frantisek Gallovič

Authors
  1. Leonardo Chiauzzi
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  2. Angelo Masi
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  3. Marco Mucciarelli
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  4. Marco Vona
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  5. Francesca Pacor
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  6. Giovanna Cultrera
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  7. Frantisek Gallovič
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  8. Antonio Emolo
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Correspondence to Leonardo Chiauzzi.

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Chiauzzi, L., Masi, A., Mucciarelli, M. et al. Building damage scenarios based on exploitation of Housner intensity derived from finite faults ground motion simulations. Bull Earthquake Eng 10, 517–545 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-011-9309-8

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