Skip to main content
Log in

Evaluation of seismic risk and mitigation strategies for the existing building stock: application of LNECloss to the metropolitan area of Lisbon

  • Original Research Paper
  • Published:
Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Decisions to mitigate seismic risk require a consistent approach to evaluate the effects of future earthquakes on population, on civil engineering structures and infra- structures. The mathematical and probabilistic methods that are the support to those approaches are generally called Risk Analysis; in the particular case of seismic events and mitigation strategies it will be named Seismic Risk and Mitigation Analysis, SRMA. The paper will address the subject of estimating the seismic risk and evaluate mitigation strategies for the existing building stock of the metropolitan area of Lisbon by describing the methods and showing preliminary results obtained with LNECloss numerical tool. Even though such a sophisticated tool needs validation on some parameters to become more reliable, it is shown that it is possible to compare results of different mitigation strategies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • ANPC (2003) Relatório final do estudo do risco sísmico da área metropolitana de Lisboa e concelhos limítrofes (in Portuguese)

  • ATC (1996) Seismic evaluation and retrofit of concrete buildings. Report no SSC 96 01, Applied Technology Council, ATC 40. Redwood City, California

  • Calvi GM, Pinho R (2004) LESSLOSS—A European integrated project on risk mitigation for earthquakes and landslides. IUSS Press, Pavia

    Google Scholar 

  • Campos Costa A, Sousa ML, Carvalho A (2007) Loss estimation for a reference situation—application to Lisbon metropolitan Área. Report 299/2007—NESDE/LNEC

  • Carvalho A (2008) Modelação Estocástica da acção sísmica em Portugal continental. PhD thesis, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade Técnica de Lisboa, Portugal (in Portuguese)

  • Carvalho A, Campos Costa A, Oliveira CS (2005) A Finite-fault modeling of the 1755 Lisbon earthquake sources. Proceedings international conference 250th anniversary of the 1755 Lisbon earthquake, Lisbon. pp 578–583

  • Carvalho A, Zonno G, Franceschina G, Bilé Serra J, Campos Costa A (2008) Earthquake shaking scenarios for the metropolitan area of Lisbon. Soil Dyn Earthquake Eng, 28: 347–364 ISSN: 0267-7261, Elsevier

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carvalho A, Campos Costa A, Oliveira CS (2008b) A finite–fault modeling of the 1755 Lisbon earthquakes sources. In: Mendes-Victor LA et al (eds) The 1755 Lisbon earthquake: revisited. Geotech Geol Earthq Eng 7:433–454. doi:10.1007/978-1-4020-8609-0_28

  • Carvalho EC, Campos Costa A, Sousa ML, Martins A, Serra JB, Caldeira L, Coelho AG (2002) Caracterização, vulnerabilidade e estabelecimento de danos para o planeamento de emergência sobre o risco sísmico na Área Metropolitana de Lisboa e nos municípios de Benavente, Salvaterra de Magos, Cartaxo, Alenquer, Sobral de Monte Agraço, Arruda dos Vinhos e Torres Vedras. Relatório final. Report 280/02—G3ES. LNEC, Lisbon (in Portuguese)

  • FEMA & NIBS (1999) Earthquake loss estimation methodology—HAZUS 99. Federal Emergency Management Agency and National Institute of Buildings Sciences, Washington, DC

  • INE (2003) Censos 2001. Programa global. Instituto Nacional de Estatística. Lisboa. http://www.ine.pt/censos2001/censos.asp

  • IPQ (2000) NP ENV 1998-1-1. Eurocódigo 8: Disposições para projecto de estruturas sismo-resistentes. Parte 1-1: Regras gerais—acções sísmicas e requisitos gerais para as estruturas (in Portuguese)

  • Kircher CA, Nassar AA, Kustu O, Holmes WT (1996) Development of building damage functions for earthquake loss estimation. Earthquake Spectra 13(4): 663–682

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kramer S (1996) Geotechnical earthquake engineering. Prentice-Hall, Inc., hjjih

    Google Scholar 

  • Oliveira CS (1974) Seismic risk analysis. Relatório n° EERC 74-1. California University, Berkeley

    Google Scholar 

  • Pinho R (2001) Selective retrofitting of RC structures in seismic areas. PhD Thesis, Imperial College, University of London

  • RSA (1983) Regulamento de Segurança e Acções para Estruturas de Edifícios e Pontes. Decreto Lei n° 235/83 de 31 de Maio e Decreto Lei n° 357/85 de 2 de Setembro. Imprensa Nacional—Casa da Moeda, 1986. Lisbon (in Portuguese)

  • Serra B, Caldeira J (1998) Dynamic behaviour of geotechnical structures by means of a stochastic approach. Conference applications of computational mechanics in geotechnical engineering, Portugal

  • Sousa ML (2006) Risco Sísmico em Portugal continental. PhD thesis, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade Técnica de Lisboa, Portugal (in Portuguese)

  • Sousa ML, Campos Costa A (2009) Ground motion scenarios consistent with probabilistic seismic hazard disaggregation analysis. Application to Mainland Portugal. Bulletin Earthquake Eng 7: 127–147

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spence R (ed) (2007) Earthquake disaster scenario prediction and loss modelling for urban areas. Robin Spence (ed), IUSS Press, Pavia, Italy, ISBN 978-88-6198-011-2

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. Campos Costa.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Costa, A.C., Sousa, M.L., Carvalho, A. et al. Evaluation of seismic risk and mitigation strategies for the existing building stock: application of LNECloss to the metropolitan area of Lisbon. Bull Earthquake Eng 8, 119–134 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-009-9160-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-009-9160-3

Keywords

Navigation