Skip to main content
Log in

MAPredRNN: multi-attention predictive RNN for traffic flow prediction by dynamic spatio-temporal data fusion

  • Published:
Applied Intelligence Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Traffic flow prediction is a key component of intelligent transportation system, especially for increasingly complex urban traffic networks. An accurate flow prediction can help to relieve traffic congestion and reduce traffic accidents. However, the patterns of traffic flow are very complex and volatile, which will be affected by many factors, such as traffic accident, weather, point-of-interests, etc. It is still a challenging issue due to the high nonlinearity and dynamicity of traffic flow. In this paper, we propose a multi-attention predictive recurrent neural networks (MAPredRNN) for traffic flow prediction by dynamic spatio-temporal data fusion. First, convolutional neural network and predictive recurrent neural network are used to obtain the spatio-temporal information of the closeness, periodicity and trend features. And then, multi-attention mechanism is employed to further extract feature fusing information of closeness, periodicity and trend. Experimental results conducted on two real datasets show that our proposed method outperforms the compared algorithms.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Chen Y, Lv Y, Ye P, Zhu F (2020) Traffic-Condition-Awareness Ensemble learning for traffic flow prediction. IFAC-PapersOnLine 53(5):582–587

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Do LN, Vu HL, Vo BQ, Liu Z, Phung D (2019) An effective spatial-temporal attention based neural network for traffic flow prediction. Transp Res C Emerg Technol 108:12–28

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Feng X, Ling X, Zheng H, Chen Z, Xu Y (2019) Adaptive multi-kernel svm with spatial–temporal correlation for short-term traffic flow prediction. IEEE Trans Intell Transp Syst 20(6):2001–2013

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Guancen Lin Aijing Lin DG (2022) Using support vector regression and k-nearest neighbors for short-term traffic flow prediction based on maximal information coefficient. Inf Sci 608:517–531

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Guo S, Lin Y, Feng N, Song C, Wan H (2019) Attention based Spatial-Temporal graph convolutional networks for traffic flow forecasting. In: Proceedings of the 33th AAAI conference on artificial intelligence, vol. 33, pp 922–929

  6. Guo S, Lin Y, Li S, Chen Z, Wan H (2019) Deep Spatial–Temporal 3D convolutional neural networks for traffic data forecasting. IEEE Trans Intell Transp Syst 20(10):3913–3926

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Huang X, Tang J, Yang X, Xiong L (2022) A time-dependent attention convolutional LSTM method for traffic flow prediction. Appl Intell 52:17371–17386

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Klepsch J, Klüppelberg C, Wei T (2017) Prediction of functional ARMA processes with an application to traffic data. Econometrics and Statistics 1:128–149

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  9. Kumar SV (2017) Traffic flow prediction using Kalman filtering technique. Procedia Eng 187:582–587

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Lin Z, Feng J, Lu Z, Li Y, Jin D (2019) DeepSTN+: context-aware spatial-temporal neural network for crowd flow prediction in Metropolis. In: Proceedings of the 33th AAAI conference on artificial intelligence, vol. 33, pp 1020–1027

  11. Liu J, Wei G (2004) A summary of traffic flow forecasting methods. J Highw Transp Res Dev 21:82–85

    Google Scholar 

  12. Lv M, Hong Z, Chen L, Chen T, Zhu T, Ji S (2020) Temporal multi-graph convolutional network for traffic flow prediction. IEEE Trans Intell Transp Syst 22(6):3337–3348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Lv M, Hong Z, Chen L, Chen T, Zhu T, Ji S (2021) Temporal Multi-Graph convolutional network for traffic flow prediction. IEEE Trans Intell Transp Syst 22(6):3337–3348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Qi T, Li G, Chen L, Xue Y (2022) ADGCN: an asynchronous dilation graph convolutional network for traffic flow prediction. IEEE Internet Things J 9(5):4001–4014

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Ren Y, Zhao D, Luo D, Ma H, Duan P (2020) Global-Local Temporal convolutional network for traffic flow prediction. IEEE Trans Intell Transp Syst 23(2):1578–1584

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Shen XJ, Zhang JT, Han DJ (2018) Short-term traffic flow prediction model based on gradient boosting regression tree. Comput Sci 45(6):222–227

    Google Scholar 

  17. Shi X, Chen Z, Wang H, Yeung DY, Wong WK, Woo Wc (2015) Convolutional LSTM Network: A machine learning approach for precipitation nowcasting. Adv Neural Inf Process Syst 28:802–810

    Google Scholar 

  18. Wang S, Miao H, Li J, Cao J (2021) Spatio-Temporal Knowledge transfer for urban crowd flow prediction via deep attentive adaptation networks. IEEE Trans Intell Transp Syst 23(5):4695–4705

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Wang Y, Long M, Wang J, Gao Z, Yu PS (2017) PredRNN: recurrent neural networks for predictive learning using spatiotemporal LSTMs. Adv Neural Inf Process Syst 30:879–888

    Google Scholar 

  20. Yang L (2020) Uncertainty prediction method for traffic flow based on K-nearest neighbor algorithm. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 39(2):1489–1499

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Yu K, Qin X, Jia Z, Du Y, Lin M (2021) Cross-attention fusion based spatial-temporal multi-graph convolutional network for traffic flow prediction. Sensors 21(24):8468

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Zhang J, Zheng Y, Qi D (2017) Deep Spatio-Temporal residual networks for citywide crowd flows prediction. In: Proceedings of the 31th AAAI conference on artificial intelligence, pp 1–7

  23. Zhang X, Huang C, Xu Y, Xia L, Dai P, Bo L, Zhang J, Zheng Y (2021) Traffic flow forecasting with Spatial-Temporal graph diffusion network. In: Proceedings of the 35th AAAI conference on artificial intelligence, vol. 35, pp 15008–15015

  24. Zhao L, Song Y, Zhang C, Liu Y, Wang P, Lin T, Deng M, Li H (2020) T-gcn: a temporal graph convolutional network for traffic prediction. IEEE Trans Intell Transp Syst 21(9):3848–3858

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Zheng Z, Shi L, Sun L, Du J (2020) Short-Term traffic flow prediction based on sparse regression and Spatio-Temporal data fusion. IEEE Access 8:142111–142119

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Zonoozi A, Kim Jj, Li XL, Cong G (2018) Periodic-CRN: a convolutional recurrent model for crowd density prediction with recurring periodic patterns. In: Proceedings of the 27th international joint conferences on artificial intelligence, pp 3732–3738

Download references

Acknowledgements

This research was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.62062033 and No.62067002, and the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province under Grant No.20212BAB202008.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yuan Jiang.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of Interests

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Huang, X., Jiang, Y. & Tang, J. MAPredRNN: multi-attention predictive RNN for traffic flow prediction by dynamic spatio-temporal data fusion. Appl Intell 53, 19372–19383 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-023-04494-8

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-023-04494-8

Keywords

Navigation