Skip to main content
Log in

Horizon and stages in applications of stochastic programming in finance

  • Published:
Annals of Operations Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

To solve a decision problem under uncertainty via stochastic programming means to choose or to build a suitable stochastic programming model taking into account the nature of the real-life problem, character of input data, availability of software and computer technology. In applications of multistage stochastic programs additional rather complicated modeling issues come to the fore. They concern the choice of the horizon, stages, methods for generating scenario trees, etc. We shall discuss briefly the ways of selecting horizon and stages in financial applications. In our numerical studies, we focus on alternative choices of stages and their impact on optimal first-stage solutions of bond portfolio optimization problems.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ainassari, K., M. Kallio, and A. Ranne. (1998). “Selecting an Optimal Investment Portfolio for a Pension Insurance Company.” Papers of the 8th AFIR Colloquium, pp. 7–23.

  • Bertocchi, M., J. Dupačová and V. Moriggia. (2000). “Sensitivity of Bond Portfolio's Behavior with Respect to Random Movements in Yield Curve: A Simulation Study.” Ann. Oper. Res. 99, 267–286.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Birge, J.R. and F. Louveaux. (1997). Introduction to Stochastic Programming, Springer, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Black, F., E. Derman, and W. Toy. (1990). “A One-Factor Model of Interest Rates and Its Application to Treasury Bond Options.” A Financial Analysts Journal, pp. 33–39.

  • Bradley, S.P. and D.B. Crane. (1980). “Managing a Bank Portfolio Over Time.” In M.A.H. Dempster (ed.), pp. 449–471.

  • Brodt, A.I. (1984). “Intertemporal Bank Asset and Liability Management.” J. Bank. Res. 15, 82–94.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cariño, D.R., D.H. Myers, and W.T. Ziemba. (1998). “Concepts, Technical Issues, and Uses of the Russell-Yasuda Kasai Financial Planning Model.” Oper. Res. 46, 450–462.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carino, D.R. and A.L. Turner. (1998). “Multiperiod Asset Allocation with Derivative Assets.” In W.T. Ziemba and J. Mulvey (eds.), pp. 182–204.

  • Consigli, G. and M.A.H. Dempster. (1998). “Dynamic Stochastic Programming for Asset-Liability Management.” Ann. Oper. Res. 81, 131–161.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cox, J.C., J.E. Jr. Ingersoll, and S.A. Ross. (1985). “A Theory of Term Structure of Interest Rates,” Econometrica 53, 385–407.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dempster, M.A.H. (ed.), (1980). Stochastic Programming, Academic Press, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dempster, M.A.H. and A.M. Ireland. (1988). “A Financial Expert Decision Support System.” In Mathematical Models for Decision Support, G. Mitra (ed.), NATO ASI Series 48, pp. 415–440.

  • Dert, C.L. (1998). “A Dynamic Model for Asset Liability Management for Defined Benefit Pension Funds.” In W.T. Ziemba and J. Mulvey (eds.), pp. 501–536.

  • Dupačová, J. (1995). “Postoptimality for Multistage Stochastic Linear Programs.” Ann. Oper. Res. 56, 65–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dupačová, J. (1999). “Portfolio Optimization Via Stochastic Programming: Methods of Output Analysis.” MMOR 50, 245–270.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dupačová, J. (2000). “Stability Properties of a Bond Portfolio Management Problem.” Ann. Oper. Res. 99, 251–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dupačová, J. (2000). “Horizon and Stages in Applications of Stochastic Programming in Finance.” WP 30, University of Bergamo.

  • Dupačová, J. (2001). “Output Analysis for Approximated Stochastic Programs.” In Stochastic Optimization: Algorithms and Applications, S. Uryasev and P. M. Pardalos (eds.), Kluwer Acad. Publ., pp. 1–29.

  • Dupačová, J. (2002). “Applications of Stochastic Programming: Achievements and Questions.” European J. Oper. Res. 140, 281–290.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dupačová, J. and M. Bertocchi. (2001). “From Data to Model and Back to Data: A Bond Portfolio Management Problem.” European J. Oper. Res. 134, 261–278.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dupačová, J., M. Bertocchi, and V. Moriggia. (1998). “Postoptimality for Scenario Based Financial Models with an Application to Bond Portfolio Management.” In W.T. Ziemba and J. Mulvey (eds.), pp. 263–285.

  • Dupačová, J., G. Consigli, and S.W. Wallace. (2000). “Scenarios for Multistage Stochastic Programs.” Ann. Oper. Res 100, 25–53.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dupačová, J., J. Hurt, and J. Štěpán. (2002). Stochastic Modeling in Economics and Finance, Kluwer Acad. Publ., Dordrecht.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fleten, S.E., K. Høyland, and S.W. Wallace. (2002). “The Performance of Stochastic Dynamic and Fixed Mix Portfolio Models.” European J. Oper. Res. 140, 37–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frauendorfer, K. and Ch. Marohn. (1998). “Refinement Issues in Stochastic Multistage Linear Programming.” Stochastic Programming Methods and Technical Applications, In K. Marti and P. Kall (eds.), LNEMS 458, pp. 305–328.

  • Golub, B. et al. (1995). “Stochastic Programming Models for Portfolio Optimization with Mortgage-Backed Securities.” European J. Oper. Res. 82, 282–296.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grinold, R.C. (1986). “Infinite Horizon Stochastic Programs.” SIAM J. Control Optim. 24, 1246–1260.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kall, P. and S.W. Wallace. (1994). Stochastic Programming, Wiley, Chichester.

  • Kouwenberg, R.R.P. (1998). “Scenario Generation and Stochastic Programming Models for Asset Liability Management.” European J. Oper. Res. 134, 279–292.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kusy, M.I. and W.T. Ziemba. (1986). “A Bank Asset and Liability Management Model.” Oper. Res. 34, 356–376.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Messina, E. and G. Mitra. (1996). “Modelling and Analysis of Multistage Stochastic Programmnig Problems: A Software Environment.” European J. Oper. Res. 101, 343–359.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mulvey, J.M., D.P. Rosenbaum, and B. Shetty. (1997). “Strategic Financial Risk Management and Operations Research.” European J. Oper. Res. 97, 1–16.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mulvey, J.M. and W.T. Ziemba. (1995). “Asset and Liability Allocation in a Global Environment.” Chapter 15 Handbooks in OR& MS 9, In R. Jarrow et al. (eds.), Elsevier.

  • Nielsen, S.S. and R. Poulsen. (2004). “A Two-Factor, Stochastic Programming Model of Danish Mortgage-Backed Securities, J. Econ. Dynamics and Control 28(7), 1267–1289, Elsevier.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nielsen, S.S. and S.A. Zenios. (1996). “A Stochastic Programming Model for Funding Single Premium Deferred Securities.” Math. Programming 75, 177–200.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prékopa, A. (1995). Stochastic Programming, Kluwer, Dordrecht and Académiai Kiadø, Budapest.

  • Shapiro, A., T. Homem-de-Mello, and J. Kim. (2002). “Conditioning of Convex Piecewise Linear Stochastic Programs.” Math. Programming A94, 1–19.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wets, R.J.-B. and W.T. Ziemba. (eds.) (1999). Stochastic Programming. State of the Art, 1998. Ann. Oper. Res. 85.

  • Zenios, S.A. and M.S. Shtilman. (1993). “Constructing Optimal Samples from a Binomial Lattice.” J. Inform. Optim. Sci. 14, 125–147.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zenios, S.A. et al. (1998). “Dynamic Models for Fixed-Income Portfolio Management under Uncertainty.” J. Econ. Dynamics Control 22, 1517–1541.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ziemba, W.T. and J. Mulvey. (eds.) (1998). World Wide Asset and Liability Modeling, Cambridge Univ. Press.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Marida Bertocchi.

Additional information

AMS Subject classification 90C15 . 92B28

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Bertocchi, M., Moriggia, V. & Dupačová, J. Horizon and stages in applications of stochastic programming in finance. Ann Oper Res 142, 63–78 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-006-6161-3

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-006-6161-3

Keywords

Navigation