Skip to main content
Log in

Estimating nonlinear regression with and without change-points by the LAD method

  • Published:
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The paper considers the least absolute deviations estimator in a nonlinear parametric regression. The interest of the LAD method is its robustness with respect to other traditional methods when the errors of model contain outliers. First, in the absence of change-points, the convergence rate of estimated parameters is found. For a model with change-points, in the case when the number of jumps is known, the convergence rate and the asymptotic distribution of estimators are obtained. Particularly, it is shown that the change-points estimator converges weakly to the minimizer of given random process. Next, when the number of jumps is unknown, its consistent estimator is proposed, via the modified Schwarz criterion.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Andrews D.W.K., Lee I., Ploberger W. (1996) Optimal changepoint tests for normal linear regression. Journal of Econometrics 70: 9–38

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Babu G.J. (1989) Strong representations for LAD estimators in linear models. Probability Theory and Related Fields 83: 547–558

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Bai J. (1995) Least absolute deviation estimation of a shift. Econometric Theory 11: 403–436

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Bai J. (1998). Estimation of multiple-regime regressions with least absolute deviation. Journal of Statistical Planning Inference 74: 103–134

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Bai J., Perron P. (1998) Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica 66: 47–78

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Carlstein E., Muller H.G., Siegmund D. (1994) Change-point problems. IMS, Hayward

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Csōrgo M., Horváth L. (1997) Limit theorems in change-point analysis. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Dielman T.E. (2005) Least absolute value regression: recent contributions. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 75(4): 263–286

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Epps T. (1988) Testing that a Gaussian process is stationary. The Annals of Statistics 16: 1667–1683

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Garcia R., Perron P. (1996) An analysis of the real interest rate under regime shifts. Review of Economics and Statistics 78: 111–125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hitomi K., Kagihara M. (2001) Calculation method for nonlinear dynamic least-absolute deviations estimator. Econometric Theory 7: 46–68

    Google Scholar 

  • Horváth L., Hušková M., Serbinowska M. (1997) Estimators for the time of change in linear models. Statistics 29(2): 109–130

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Horváth L., Hušková M., Kokoszka P., Steinebach J. (2004) Monitoring changes in linear models. Journal of Statistical Planning Inference 126(1): 225–251

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hušková M., Prášková Z., Steinebach J. (2007) On the detection of changes in autoregressive time series. I. Asymptotics. Journal of Statistical Planning Inference 137(4): 1243–1259

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kim H.K., Choi S.H. (1995) Asymptotic properties of non-linear least absolute deviation estimators. Journal of the Korean Statistical Society 24: 127–139

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Kühn C. (2001) An estimator of the number of change points based on a weak invariance principle. Statistics and Probability Letters 51(2): 189–196

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Lavielle M. (1999) Detection of multiple changes in a sequence of dependent variables. Stochastic Processes and their Applications 83: 79–102

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Liu J., Wu S., Zidek J.V. (1997) On segmented multivariate regressions. Statistic Sinica 7: 497–525

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Lombard F. (1987) Rank tests for change point problems. Biometrika 74: 615–624

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Mia B., Zhao L. (1988) Detection of change points using rank methods. Communications in Statistics. Theory and Methods 17: 3207–3217

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Oberhofer W. (1982) The consistency of nonlinear regression minimizing the L 1-norm. The Annals of Statistics 10(1): 316–319

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Pauler D.K., Finkelstein D.M. (2002) Predicting time to prostate cancer recurrence based on joint models for non-linear longitudinal biomarkers and event time outcomes. Statistics in Medicine 21(24): 3897–3911

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pollard D. (1991) Asymptotics for least absolute deviation regression estimators. Econometric Theory 7: 186–199

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Richardson G.D., Bhattacharyya B.B. (1987) Consistent L 1-estimators in non-linear regression for a noncompact parameter space. Sankhya:The Indian Journal of Statistics, Series A 49: 377–387

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Serbinowska M. (1996) Consistency of an estimator of the number of changes in binomial observations. Statistics and Probability Letters 29(4): 337–344

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Weiss A.A. (1991) Estimating nonlinear dynamic models using least absolute error estimation. Econometric Theory 7: 46–68

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Wu Y. (1988) Strong consistency and exponential rate of the minimum L 1-norm estimates in linear regression models. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 6: 285–295

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yao Y.C. (1988) Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz’s criterion. Statistics and Probability Letters 6: 181–189

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yao Y.C., Au S.T. (1988) Least-squares estimation of a step function. Sankhya 51: 370–381

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gabriela Ciuperca.

About this article

Cite this article

Ciuperca, G. Estimating nonlinear regression with and without change-points by the LAD method. Ann Inst Stat Math 63, 717–743 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10463-009-0256-y

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10463-009-0256-y

Keywords

Navigation