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The Utility of a Composite Biological Endpoint in HIV/STI Prevention Trials

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Abstract

A human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) as a biological endpoint in HIV prevention trials may not be feasible, so investigators have used surrogate biological outcomes. In a multisite trial, the epidemiology of STIs may be different across sites and preclude using one STI as the outcome. This study explored using a composite STI outcome to address that problem. The combined biological endpoint was the incidence of any of six new STIs (chlamydia, gonorrhea, trichomonas (women only), syphilis, herpes simplex virus type 2 infection and HIV) during a 24-month follow up period. We investigated how a composite STI outcome would perform compared to single and dual STI outcomes under various conditions. We simulated outcomes for four populations that represented a wide range of sex and age distributions, and STI prevalences. The simulations demonstrated that a combined biologic outcome was superior to single and dual STI outcomes in assessing intervention effects in 82 % of the cases. A composite biological outcome was effective in detecting intervention effects and might allow more investigations to incorporate multiple biological outcomes in the assessment of behavioral intervention trials for HIV prevention.

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Acknowledgment

This study was funded by the National Institute of Mental Health.

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Correspondence to Willo Pequegnat.

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This study is conducted on behalf of the NIMH Collaborative HIV/STD Prevention Trial Group.

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Hartwell, T.D., Pequegnat, W., Moore, J.L. et al. The Utility of a Composite Biological Endpoint in HIV/STI Prevention Trials. AIDS Behav 17, 2893–2901 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-013-0501-5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-013-0501-5

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