Skip to main content
Log in

A PDE approach for risk measures for derivatives with regime switching

  • Research Article
  • Published:
Annals of Finance Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper considers a partial differential equation (PDE) approach to evaluate coherent risk measures for derivative instruments when the dynamics of the risky underlying asset are governed by a Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion (GBM); that is, the appreciation rate and the volatility of the underlying risky asset switch over time according to the state of a continuous-time hidden Markov chain model which describes the state of an economy. The PDE approach provides market practitioners with a flexible and effective way to evaluate risk measures in the Markov-modulated Black–Scholes model. We shall derive the PDEs satisfied by the risk measures for European-style options, barrier options and American-style options.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aggoun L., Elliott R.J., Moore J.B. (1994) Hidden Markov Models: Estimation and Control. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Artzner P., Delbaen F., Eber J., Heath D. (1999) Coherent measures of risk. Math Financ 9(3): 203–228

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buffington J., Elliott R.J. (2002a) Regime switching and European options. In: Lawrence K.S. (ed) Stochastic Theory and Control, Proceedings of a Workshop. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York, pp 73–81

    Google Scholar 

  • Buffington J., Elliott R.J. (2002b) American options with regime switching. Int J Theor App Financ 5, 497–514

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chan L.L., Elliott R.J., Siu T.K. (2005) Option pricing and Esscher transform under regime switching. Ann Financ 1(4): 423–432

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duffie, D., Pan, J.: An overview of value at risk. J Derivatives Spring, 7–49 (1997)

  • Elliott R.J., van der Hoek J. (1997) An application of hidden Markov models to asset allocation problems. Financ Stochastics 3, 229–238

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elliott R.J., Hunter W.C., Jamieson B.M. (2001) Financial signal processing. Int J Theor Appl Financ 4, 567–584

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elliott R.J., Hinz J. (2002) Portfolio analysis, hidden Markov models and chart analysis by PF-Diagrams. Int J Theor App Financ 5, 385–399

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elliott R.J., Malcolm W.P., Tsoi A.H. (2003) Robust parameter estimation for asset price models with Markov modulated volatilities. J Econ Dyn Control 27(8): 1391–1409

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elliott R.J., Kopp P.E. (2004) Mathematics of Financial Markets. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Elliott, R.J., Royal, A.J.: Asset prices with regime switching variance Gamma dynamics. In: Bensoussan, A., Zhang, Q. (eds.) Hand Book on Mathematical Finance. Elsevier, Amsterdam (2007) (To appear)

  • Embrechts, P.: Value at risk, Lecture Notes, Centre of Financial Time Series. The University of Hong Kong (2000)

  • Föllmer H., Schweizer M. (1991) Hedging of contingent claims under incomplete information. In: Davis M.H.A., Elliott R.J. (eds) Applied Stochastic Analysis. Gordon and Breach, London, pp. 389–414

    Google Scholar 

  • Guo X. (2001) Information and option pricings. Quant Finance 1, 38–44

    Google Scholar 

  • Jahel, E., Perraudin, W., Sellin, P.: Value at risk for derivatives. J Derivatives, Spring 7–26 (1999)

  • Kallsen J. (2000) Utility-based derivative pricing in incomplete markets. In: German H., Madan D., Pliska S.R., Vorst T. (eds) Mathematical Finance – Bachelier congress. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Morgan J.P. (1996) Riskmetrics – technical document. J.P Morgan, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Pliska S.R. (1997) Introduction to mathematical finance. Blackwell, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Schweizer M. (1992) Mean-variance hedging for general claims. Ann App Probab 2, 171–179

    Google Scholar 

  • Siu T.K., Yang H. (2000) A p.d.e. approach for measuring risk of derivatives. App Math Financ 7(3): 211–228

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Siu T.K., Yang H. (2001) Risk measures for derivatives under Black-Scholes economy. Int J Theor App Financ 4(5): 819–835

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Siu T.K., Tong H., Yang H. (2001) Bayesian risk measures for derivatives via random Esscher transform. North Am Actuar J 5(3): 78–91

    Google Scholar 

  • Stojanovic, S.D.: Higher dimensional fair option pricing and hedging under HARA and CARA utilities, (Preprint August 2005; Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=912763)

  • Wilmott P. (1998) Derivatives: The Theory and Practice of Financial Engineering. Wiley, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Yao D.D., Zhang Q., Zhou X.Y. (2006) A regime-switching model for European options. In: Yan H., Yin G., Zhang Q.(eds) Stochastic processes, optimization, and control theory applications in financial engineearing, queueing networks, and manufacturing systems. Springer, Berlin Heidelberg New York, pp. 281–300

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Robert J. Elliott.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Elliott, R.J., Siu, T.K. & Chan, L. A PDE approach for risk measures for derivatives with regime switching. Annals of Finance 4, 55–74 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-006-0068-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-006-0068-5

Keywords

JEL Classification Numbers

Navigation