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Money to the people: a calculation of direct dividend payments in Africa

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Abstract

Historical data shows that large natural resource endowments have not translated into better quality of life in Sub-Saharan Africa (“Africa” for short). The problem is becoming more urgent, as new exploration technologies are rapidly expanding the number of countries whose fiscal revenues will grow, in many cases massively, with new oil, gas and mineral discoveries. A search is on for innovative approaches in managing this commodity bonanza. This paper focuses on the distribution of resource rents as cash transfers to citizens, so-called “Direct Dividend Payments” (DDPs). It expands on recent related literature by calculating such transfers, whether universal or targeted, for every African country for which data is available, and compares them to measures of poverty depth under both national and global definitions. Furthermore, it extends the analysis to a different kind of resource flow enjoyed by most African countries—foreign aid. We found that DDPs can account for a large proportion of the income Africa’s poor need to step over the poverty line.

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Notes

  1. Ravallion and Chen (1997) document a positive growth elasticity of poverty.

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Acknowledgments

The views expressed are the authors’ own and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated institutions. The authors thank Andrew L. Dabalen, Shantayanan Devarajan, Gladys Lopez-Acevedo, and Maniza B. Naqvi for helpful comments on an earlier draft. Generous financial support from the Nordic Trust Fund for Human Rights: Africa - Designing Social Accountability Mechanisms to Include the Excluded, is gratefully acknowledged.

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Correspondence to Nga Thi Viet Nguyen.

Annex

Annex

Table 5 Africa’s data for DDP analysis
Table 6 Data sources for fiscal revenue from natural resources in 2011

(Table 7).

Table 7 Exiting and potential resource-rich countries in Africa in 2011

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Giugale, M.M., Nguyen, N.T.V. Money to the people: a calculation of direct dividend payments in Africa. Int Econ Econ Policy 15, 1–19 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-016-0359-x

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