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An epidemic model of a rice virus transmitted by a migratory planthopper

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Abstract

Recent outbreaks of viral diseases of rice in east Asia are caused by migratory planthoppers. Epidemic models of these viral diseases are required to predict the annual emergence of the viruses based on established forecasting systems of outbreaks of the planthoppers. Here, we develop an epidemic model for southern rice black-streaked dwarf virus (SRBSDV), which is transmitted by the white-backed planthopper, Sogatella furcifera, as the first epidemic model of viruses borne by migratory planthoppers. The epidemic model, consisting of a Leslie model for the population dynamics of S. furcifera and a transmission model for SRBSDV, predicted a high contribution of the density of viruliferous immigrant S. furcifera to SRBSDV emergence. Early immigration of S. furcifera into paddy fields after transplanting of rice also promoted the virus epidemic primarily because of the emergence of viruliferous old nymphs during the period during which rice plants are susceptible to the virus. The epidemic model developed could be expanded to other planthopper-borne viruses and is effective for understanding the ecological aspects of virus epidemics in the field and for assessing the risk of viral diseases transmitted by migratory vectors.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Robert Cowie of the University of Hawaii for editorial help with the manuscript.

Funding

This study was funded by the program of research and development projects for application in promoting new policy on agriculture, forestry and fisheries (ID: 23034) from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. NARO Kyushu Okinawa Agricultural Research Center, 2421 Suya, Koshi, Kumamoto, 861-1192, Japan

    Keiichiro Matsukura & Masaya Matsumura

  2. Pacific Biosciences Research Center, University of Hawaii, 3050 Maile Way, Gilmore 408, Honolulu, HI, 96822, USA

    Keiichiro Matsukura

  3. NARO Agricultural Research Center, 3-1-1 Kannondai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8666, Japan

    Tomonari Watanabe

  4. Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, NARO, 3-1-3 Kannondai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8604, Japan

    Tomonari Watanabe

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  1. Keiichiro Matsukura
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  2. Tomonari Watanabe
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  3. Masaya Matsumura
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Correspondence to Keiichiro Matsukura.

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All three authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Data accessibility

(1) The Leslie matrix projection: uploaded as online supporting figures. (2) Equations to determine parameter values related to the population growth of S. furcifera and a result of a comparison between simulated and actual emergence peaks of S. furcifera at the first and second generations: uploaded as online supporting tables.

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This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.

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Communicated by M. Traugott.

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Matsukura, K., Watanabe, T. & Matsumura, M. An epidemic model of a rice virus transmitted by a migratory planthopper. J Pest Sci 90, 669–682 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-016-0811-2

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