Zusammenfassung
US-Präsident Donald Trump hat am 3. November 2020 zwar eine Niederlage erfahren, dennoch könnte der seit 2016 politisch in den USA herrschende Populismus als Mischung aus neuem Nationalismus und Protektionismus für einige Jahre andauern. Die US-Wahlen fanden unter besonderen Bedingungen statt: so löste der Corona-Schock einen weltweiten Wirtschaftsschock aus.
Abstract
The United States is characterised by a structural populism problem that persists even without Trump as president. Its economic policy is fundamentally contradictory. The US fiscal and deficit policy under Trump was considered risky even before the corona shock, while the aggressive US trade policy is a self-inflicted wound. If we look at effective lifetime income, Germany, France and the United States are on an equal footing. This is due in part to the lag in life expectancy in the US and the much higher health care costs - relative to GDP - in the American system. A transatlantic dialogue on reform would be worthwhile after the corona shock of 2020.
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Prof. Dr. Paul J. J. Welfens ist Präsident des Europäischen Instituts für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW) an der Bergischen Universität Wuppertal und Jean Monnet Professor für European Economic Integration, Chair for Macroeconomics. Er war Alfred Grosser Professor am Sciences Po, Paris und ist Non-resident Senior Research Fellow am AICGS/Johns Hopkins University, Washington DC und zudem Research Fellow am IZA, Bonn.
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