Skip to main content
Log in

Confidence Intervals of Variance Functions in Generalized Linear Model

  • Original Papers
  • Published:
Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this paper we introduce an appealing nonparametric method for estimating variance and conditional variance functions in generalized linear models (GLMs), when designs are fixed points and random variables respectively. Bias-corrected confidence bands are proposed for the (conditional) variance by local linear smoothers. Nonparametric techniques are developed in deriving the bias-corrected confidence intervals of the (conditional) variance. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed estimator is established and show that the bias-corrected confidence bands asymptotically have the correct coverage properties. A small simulation is performed when unknown regression parameter is estimated by nonparametric quasi-likelihood. The results are also applicable to nonparametric autoregressive times series model with heteroscedastic conditional variance.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. An, H.Z., Huang, F.C. The geometrical ergodicity of nonlinear autoregression models. Statistica Sinica, 6: 943–956 (1996)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  2. Chiou, J.M., Müller, H.G. Nonparametric quasi-likelihood. Ann. Statist., 27: 36–64 (1999)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  3. Bickel, B.L., Rosenblatt, M. On some global measures of the deviations of density function estimates. Ann. Statist., 1: 1071–1095 (1973)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  4. Csörgő, M., Révész, P. Strong approximation in probability and statistics. Academic Press, New York, 1981

  5. Eubank, R.L., Speckman, P.L. Confidence bands in nonparametric regression. J. Am. Statist. Ass., 88: 1287–1301 (1993)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  6. Fan, J., Gijbels, I. Variable bandwidth and local linear regression smoothers. Ann. Statist. 20: 2008–2036 (1992)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  7. Fan, J., Gijbels, I. Local polynomial modeling and its applications. Chapman and Hall, London, 1996

  8. Fan, J., Yao, Q. Efficient estimation of conditional variance functions in stochastic regression. Biometrika, 85: 645–660 (1998)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  9. Gasser, T., Müller, H.G. Kernel estimation of regression functions. Smoothing Techniques for curve estimation. Lectures Notes in Math. 77: 529–535 (1979)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Härdle, W., Vieu, P. Kernel regression smoothing of time series. J. Time Ser. Anal., 13: 209–224 (1992).

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Kuelbs, J., Philipp, W. Almost sure invariance principles for partial sums of mixing B-valued random variables. Ann. Probab., 8: 1003–1036 (1980)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  12. Masry, E. Multivariate local polynomial regression for time series: uniform and strong consistency and rates. J. Time Ser. Anal., 17: 571–599 (1996)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  13. Masry, E., Tjøstheim, D. Nonparametric estimation and identification of nonlinear ARCH times series: strong convergence and asymptotic normality. Econometric Theory, 11: 258-289 (1995)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  14. Nadaraya, E.A. On estimating regression. Theory Probab. Appl., 9: 141–142 (1964)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Nelder, J.A., Wedderburn, R.W.M. Generalized linear models. J. R. Statist. Soc. A, 135: 370–384 (1972)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Rio, E. The functional law of the iterated logarithm for stationary strongly mixing sequences. Ann. Probab., 23: 1188-1203 (1995)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  17. Ruppert, D., Sheather, J., Wand, P.M. An effective bandwidth selector for local least squares regression. J. Am. Statist. Ass., 90: 1257–1270 (1995)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  18. Tong, H. Nonlinear time series analysis: a dynamic approach. Oxford University Press, London, 1990

  19. Weisberg, S., Welsh, A.H. Adapting for the missing link. Ann. Statist., 22: 1674–1700 (1994)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  20. Withers, C.S. Conditions for linear process to be strong-mixing. Z. Wahrsch. Ver. Geb., 57: 477–480 (1981)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  21. Xia, Y. Bias-corrected confidence bounds in nonparamteric regression. J. R. Statist. Soc. B. 60: 797–811 (1998)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  22. Xia, Y., Li, W.K. On the estimation and testing of function-coefficient linear models. Statistica Sinica, 9: 735–757 (1999)

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yong Zhou.

Additional information

Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.10471140).

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Zhou, Y., Li, Dj. Confidence Intervals of Variance Functions in Generalized Linear Model. Acta Math. Appl. Sin, Engl. Ser. 22, 353–368 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10255-006-0311-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10255-006-0311-x

Keywords

2000 MR Subject Classification

Navigation