Regional Environmental Change

, Volume 16, Issue 3, pp 617–627 | Cite as

Present and future climate conditions for winegrowing in Spain

  • María  N. Lorenzo
  • Alexandre M. Ramos
  • Swen Brands
Original Article

Abstract

This study deals with the question of how winegrowing in Spain may be altered by anthropogenic climate change. The present state and expected future development of three bioclimatic indices relevant for winegrowing were assessed by observation, and four regional climate models from the EU-ENSEMBLES project were investigated. When comparing the 2061–2090 scenario period to the 1961–1990 reference period, the models unanimously indicate a significant increase in the mean of the two considered thermal indices over the entire study region. However, for the index based on temperature and precipitation, the models are heavily biased when verified against observations and generally disagree on the size of the projected future change. For this index, unanimous model agreement was only found for northwestern Spain where all models indicated a significant decrease in the mean. From these results, regional climate change is expected to negatively affect the quality of wine in the growing regions of central and southern Spain, and the Ebro valley, whereas positive effects should be expected in the northwest. No significant changes in the risk of mildew infestation are to be expected except for the northwest, where this risk is projected to decrease.

Keywords

Viticulture Spain Regional climate models Winkler index Huglin index Hydrothermic index of Branas Bernon and Levadoux Climate change 

Supplementary material

10113_2015_883_MOESM1_ESM.pdf (944 kb)
Supplementary material 1 (PDF 945 kb)

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  • María  N. Lorenzo
    • 1
  • Alexandre M. Ramos
    • 2
  • Swen Brands
    • 3
    • 4
  1. 1.EPhysLab, Facultade de CienciasUniversidade de VigoOurenseSpain
  2. 2.Faculdade de Ciencias, Instituto Dom LuizUniversidade de LisboaLisbonPortugal
  3. 3.MeteoGalicia, Consellería de Medio Ambiente, Territorio e InfraestruturasXunta de GaliciaSantiago de CompostelaSpain
  4. 4.Grupo de Meteorología, Instituto de Física de CantabriaCSIC-Univ. de CantabriaSantanderSpain

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