Viral LRTI is an important cause of hospitalisation, pneumonia, and death in the elderly during winter. A definite etiological diagnosis of the LRTI may influence the management of these patients. In our analysis, no constitutional or respiratory symptom could adequately predict a viral cause of the LRTI. The combination of the three symptoms fever (≥38°C), acute onset (≤7 days), and cough have been shown to have a positive predictive value for the presence of influenza in 44% of elderly patients visiting their general practitioners with influenza-like illness and in 47% of elderly patients hospitalised with cardiopulmonary conditions during the influenza season [7, 8, 9].
The national surveillance system for acute respiratory tract infections in Belgium documents acute respiratory tract infections in sentinel practices and the aetiology in collaboration with a nationwide network of reference laboratories. During the study period, RSV infections were documented from the end of September until April, with a peak observed in late December. Influenza infections occurred from the end of January until April, with a peak occurring in late February (Fig. 1) [10].
In our study, the combination of these three symptoms had a predictive value of 26% for any viral LRTI during the whole study period. The predictive value of the symptom combination for influenza for the whole study period (influenza prevalence of 26%) was 30%, for the period that influenza was circulating in the community (prevalence 33%) 35%, and for the period since the first influenza hospitalisation (prevalence 40%) 40%. This demonstrates the need for active surveillance in the community and even in the hospital setting for influenza when influenza infection is sought based on clinical judgment. The lower predictive value in our analysis is partially due to the restriction of our population to LRTI in which fever (59%), cough (88%), and acute onset (76%) are prevalent and to the exclusion of influenza-like illness without LRTI symptoms and admissions for cardiac conditions that could have been caused by viral infections.
The prevalence of RSV LRTI in the study was 4%. This figure falls within the range documented (year, 2–5%; winter, 5–15%) in studies of RSV as an aetiology for hospitalisation in the elderly. Upper respiratory tract symptoms and wheezing seem to be more prevalent in RSV infections in these studies [11].
A comparison between influenza and RSV infections was not possible due to the low number of proven RSV infections. In studies comparing RSV and influenza in elderly patients, wheezing or therapy for bronchospasm was more prevalent in RSV infections while fever, constitutional symptoms, and gastrointestinal symptoms were more prevalent in influenza infections [12]. All patients with RSV in this study had pneumonia on admission, and five of the six patients were frail nursing home residents. The rate of pneumonia in elderly patients with RSV infection varies with the population studied. For community-dwelling elderly, the rate of pneumonia in RSV infection is estimated at 2–5% throughout the year and at 5–15% in winter, for nursing home residents at 10–20%, and for hospitalised elderly at 44–63% [11, 13].
We identified additional variables that are associated with a viral origin of LRTI. The exposure to family members with flu-like illness distinguishes viral from nonviral infections. Other caregivers in close contact with elderly can also transmit viruses, but this information was not available. Contact (and travel) history is a valuable tool, as has been shown in the recent battle against the SARS epidemics in China and Canada [14].
A functional independency prior to admission also was a risk factor for hospitalisation with a viral LRTI. It is well known that hospitalisation rates for influenza and pneumonia are five times higher in elderly without high-risk conditions than in young adults (13–23 per105 persons/year vs. 125–228 per 105 persons/year) and are even higher in elderly with high-risk conditions (399–518/105 persons/year) [2, 15].
For RSV-associated pneumonia, the hospitalisation rate is 40–180/105 persons/year in all elderly and 50–230/105 persons/year in nursing home residents [3]. An association between high-risk conditions, poor functionality, and bacterial infection is possible.
A nonelevated leucocyte count (<1010/l) was associated with viral LRTI. This has been documented in other studies as well for both influenza and RSV [12, 16].
The aetiological diagnosis of LRTI in hospitalised elderly is hampered by many obstacles. In 60% of LRTIs in our study, no causative pathogen was identified. The impact of antibiotic treatment before diagnostic sampling and the low sensitivity of the diagnostic tools used will be discussed below. Other pathogens could have been present. Up to 9% of winter hospitalisations for cardiopulmonary conditions in the elderly are caused by rhinovirus and coronavirus [17]. Legionella pneumophila and Mycobacterium tuberculosis also cause LRTI. Diagnostic tools to identify these pathogens were not used in this study. Finally, misclassification of symptomatic heart failure and pulmonary disease (embolism, cancer, and interstitial lung disease) as an LRTI is possible.
The sputum samples were difficult to obtain (49% of the study population) and of poor quality, since only 10% of the sputum samples met the quality criteria. Many patients (33%) already received antibiotics prior to admission. Although a good-quality sputum can predict the bacterial aetiology of pneumonia, the yield of these samples is diminished in the elderly (≥75 years), in antibiotic pretreated patients, and in mild-to-moderate (rather than severe) pneumonia [18, 19]. Oropharyngeal colonisation with gram-negative bacilli can be misleading [19]. Therefore, the usefulness of routine sputum culture in this population must be questioned. At least there should be a selection for macroscopically purulent samples of patients not treated with antibiotics.
Six percent of blood cultures yielded a definite diagnosis. Pretreatment with antibiotics and less severe pneumonia are also associated with a reduced diagnostic yield of blood cultures [20, 21].
Serological diagnosis with a fourfold rise in titers is retrospective and, upon admission, high acute titers can already be present in many patients since the LRTI developed an average of 5 days before admission. Moreover, previous infections or vaccination can produce circulating antibodies as well.
The serologic assay used was a complement fixation. A higher sensitivity could be obtained with an enzyme immunoassay, as documented for influenza and RSV [22, 23].
Direct demonstration of the viral pathogen is also difficult. Half of the serologically proven influenza LRTIs and only one of six RSV LRTIs were culture positive. This corresponds with findings in other studies examining viral culture yields for the identification of influenza and RSV. This is attributable to a shorter duration and lower titre of viral shedding in the elderly compared with children and adults [24, 25, 26].
Rapid antigen detection with immunofluorescence or enzyme immunoassay is less sensitive than viral culture [13, 24, 27, 28]. In our study, the RSV antigen detection enzyme immunoassay revealed no RSV infection. The results of these rapid antigen detection assays depend on the age of the studied population (good sensitivity [75–95%] in children), the immune-status of the population, the type of specimen studied, the time of collection after disease onset, and the sample processing [29, 30].
Treatment of influenza with amantadine, rimantidine, or neuraminidase inhibitors must start within 48 h after disease onset to be effective. In our study, only 39% of the patients with influenza LRTI presented within 2 days after disease onset. When there is a high probability of influenza, antiviral therapy and precautionary measures to reduce nosocomial spread in closed settings like nursing homes and hospitals can be started in patients presenting with the symptoms described above [31].
In conclusion, our results show that during the winter a viral infection is an important cause of LRTI requiring hospitalisation in elderly people. A history of familial flu-like illness and a nonelevated leucocyte count suggests a viral etiology. Etiological diagnosis can be obtained in 40% of the patients, mostly by serological tests or viral culture of a nasopharyngeal swab. Better diagnostic tools are required to identify bacterial and viral causes of LRTI in order to more adequately stratify initial therapeutic and preventive approaches. Molecular diagnostic tests (e.g., real-time polymerase chain reaction) may offer new opportunities in this respect.