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Application of the “1-2-3-4-day” rule to stroke severity at baseline versus at 24 h to start direct oral anticoagulant for atrial fibrillation within 7 days from symptom onset

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Abstract

Introduction

The aim of this study is to compare the “1-2-3-4-day” rule applied to stroke severity at baseline versus at 24 h to start DOAC for AF within 7 days from symptom onset.

Patients and methods

We conducted a prospective cohort observational study based on 433 consecutive AF-related stroke patients starting DOAC within 7 days from symptom onset. Four groups were identified according to the timing of DOAC introduction: 2-day, 3-day, 4-day, and 5–7-day.

Results

Three models of multivariate ordinal regression including unbalanced variables among four groups (enrolment year, dyslipidemia, known AF, thrombolysis, thrombectomy, hemorrhagic transformation, DOAC type) were used to estimate the association of neurological severity categories (reference: NIHSS > 15) at baseline (Brant test: 0.818), at 24 h (Brant test: 0.997), and radiological severity categories (reference: major infarct) at 24 h (Brant test: 0.902) in the direction of earlier DOAC introduction on days (from 5–7-day to 2-day). Number of deaths was higher in early DOAC group than in late DOAC group according to the “1-2-3-4-day” rule (5.4% versus 1.3%, 6.8% versus 1.1%, and 4.2% versus 1.7% when it was applied to baseline neurological severity, 24-h neurological and radiological severity, respectively), but no significant difference was found and deaths were not caused by early DOAC introduction. Rates of ischemic stroke and intracranial hemorrhage were not different between early and late DOAC groups.

Conclusions

The application of “1-2-3-4-day” rule to start DOAC for AF within 7 days from symptom onset differed when applied to baseline neurological stroke severity versus 24-h neurological and radiological severity, but safety and effecacy are similar.

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Correspondence to Manuel Cappellari.

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Ethics approval

The present study was in accordance with the ethical standards laid down in the 1964 Declaration of Helsinki and its later amendments.

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Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

Competing interests

Manuel Cappellari received consultancy or advisory board fees or speaker’s honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer/Bristol Meyer Squibb, and Daiichi Sankyo. All other authors report no conflicts of interest.

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Supplementary information

ESM 1:

Supplemental Table 1. Numbers of patients in each neurological stroke severity category at baseline and at 24 hours per infarct sizes at 24 hours. Supplemental Table 2. Relationship between early (versus late) DOAC introduction and events. Supplemental Figure 1. Distribution of days according to the “1-2-3-4-day” rule for each stroke severity category. Supplemental Figure 2. Interaction tree generated by the first cluster analysis including demographic, clinical, and radiological variables. Supplemental Figure 3. Interaction tree generated by the first cluster analysis including demographic, clinical, and radiological variables plus baseline neurological severity and 24-hour neurological and radiological severity.

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Cappellari, M., Emiliani, A., Zivelonghi, C. et al. Application of the “1-2-3-4-day” rule to stroke severity at baseline versus at 24 h to start direct oral anticoagulant for atrial fibrillation within 7 days from symptom onset. Neurol Sci 44, 2821–2829 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10072-023-06717-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10072-023-06717-9

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