Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Rainfall thresholding and susceptibility assessment of rainfall-induced landslides: application to landslide management in St Thomas, Jamaica

Seuil de précipitations et estimation de la prédisposition aux glissements de terrain induits par les précipitations: Application à la gestion des glissements de terrain à StThomas en Jamaïque

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The parish of St Thomas has one of the highest densities of landslides in Jamaica, which impacts the residents, local economy and the built and natural environment. These landslides result from a combination of steep slopes, faulting, heavy rainfall and the presence of highly weathered volcanics, sandstones, limestones and sandstone/shale series and are particularly prevalent during the hurricane season (June–November). The paper reports a study of the rainfall thresholds and landslide susceptibility assessment to assist the prediction, mitigation and management of slope instability in landslide-prone areas of the parish.

Résumé

La commune de St Thomas possède une des plus grandes densités de glissements de terrain en Jamaïque, ce qui affecte les habitants, l’économie locale ainsi que l’environnement bâti et naturel. Ces glissements de terrain résultent de la combinaison de pentes raides, de faille, de fortes précipitations et de la présence de pierres volcaniques, de grès, de calcaires et de séries de grès et schistes argileux, tous très érodés par les intempéries et qui sont particulièrement présentes durant la saison des cyclones (Juin à Novembre). L’article est une étude des seuils de précipitations et une évaluation de la prédisposition aux glissements de terrain afin d’aider à la prévision, à l’atténuation et à la gestion de l’instabilité des pentes dans les secteurs enclins au glissement de terrain dans la commune.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ahmad R (2003) Developing early warning systems in Jamaica: rainfall thresholds for hydrological hazards. National disaster management conference, Ocho Rios, St Ann, Jamaica, 9–10 September 2003

  • Ahmad R, McCalpin JP (1999) Landslide susceptibility maps for the Kingston metropolitan area, Jamaica: with notes on their use. Organization of American States general secretariat, unit for sustainable development and environment USAID-OAS Caribbean disaster mitigation project; unit for disaster studies. Department of Geography and Geology, The University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston, Jamaica, UDS Publication (5)

  • Ahmad R, Robinson E (1986) Neo-tectonic faults and landslides in Jamaica. Abstracts. Second Caribbean conference on natural hazards and disasters, Kingston, Jamaica

  • Ahmad R, Miller D, Rowe D (2002) Landslides related to precipitation in Eastern Jamaica. Report. Department of Geography and Geology, The University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston 7, Jamaica

  • Aleotti P, Chowdhury R (1999) Landslide hazard assessment: summary review and new perspective. Bull Eng Geol Environ 58:1–44

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ayalew L, Yamagishi H (2004) The application of GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Kakuda-Yahiko mountains, Central Japan. Geomorphology 65:15–31

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ayalew L, Yamagishi H, Marui H, Kanno T (2005) Landslides in Sado Island of Japan: part II. GIS-based susceptibility mapping with comparisons of results from two methods and verifications. Eng Geol 81:432–445

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barker D, McGregor FM (1995) Environment and development in the Caribbean: geographical perspectives. In: Environment and development in the Caribbean: geographical perspectives. The Press, University of the West Indies, Barbados, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, pp 146–169

  • Carby B, Ahmad R (1996) The impact of hydrogeological hazard on infrastructural elements in Jamaica. The second Caribbean conference on natural hazards and disasters. October 9–12, Kingston, Jamaica

  • Carrara A, Cardinali M, Guzzetti F, Reichenbach P (1995) GIS technology in mapping landslide hazards. In: Carrara A, Guzzetti F (eds) Geographical information systems in assessing natural hazards. Kluwer Academic Publisher, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp 135–175

    Google Scholar 

  • Chien-Yuan C, Tien-Chien C, Fan-Chieh Y, Wen-Hu Y (2005) Rainfall duration and debris-flow initiated studies for real-time monitoring. Env Geol 47:715–724 Springer

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crozier MJ (1986) Landslides: cause, consequences and environment. Croom Helm Ltd, 252 pp

  • Dai FC, Lee CF (2002) Landslide characteristics and slope instability modelling using GIS, Lantau Island, Hong Kong. Geomorphology 42:213–228

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Field A (2003) Discovering statistics using SPSS for windows. Sage, 770 pp

  • Forestry Department of Jamaica (2002) Land-use data derived from satellite imagery. Unpublished digital data, Forestry Department, Kingston, Jamaica (CD Rom)

  • Guzzetti F, Carrara A, Cardinali M, Reichenbach P (1999) Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in Multi-scale study, Central Italy. Geomorphology 31(1):181–216 Elsevier

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hillel D (1998) Environmental soil physics. Academic Press, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Huabin W, Gangjun L, Weiya X, Gonghui W (2005) GIS-based landslide hazard assessment: an overview. Prog Phys Geogr 29(4):548–567

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Istitute di Riverca per la Protezione Idrogeologica [IRPI] (2008) Rainfall Thresholding for the the Initiation of Landslide. Istitute di Riverca per la Protezione Idrogeologica, Perugia

  • Jakob M, Weatherly H (2003) A hydroclimatic threshold for landslide initiation on North Shore mountains of Vancouver, British Columbia. Geomorphology 54(3,5):137–156, 920. Elsevier

    Google Scholar 

  • Jamaica Gleaner Newspaper (JGN) (1998a) Island wide flooding. The Jamaica Gleaner Newspaper, 29 October 1998. http://www.jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/19981029/f2.html. Accessed 14 Mar 2002

  • Jamaica Gleaner Newspaper (JGN) (1998b) Expert target landslides. Jamaica Gleaner Newspaper, 28 Aug 1998. http://www.oas.org/en/cdmp/document/kma/glnr0898.htm. Accessed 14 March 2002

  • Jibson RW (1989) Debris flow in southern Porto Rico. Geol Soc Am Spec Pap 236:29–55

    Google Scholar 

  • Larsen MC, Simon A (1993) A rainfall intensity-duration threshold for landslides in a humid-tropical environment, Puerto Rico. Geografiska Annaler A Phys Geograp 75(1–2):13–23

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Matthew F, Dyer R (2002) Rural Jamaica reels from Lili. Jamaica Gleaner Newspaper, Sunday 29 Sept 2002

  • Menard S (1995) Applied logistic regression analysis. Sage university paper series on quantitative applications in the social sciences, 07–106. Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA

    Google Scholar 

  • Meteorological Office of Jamaica (MOJ) (2003) Rainfall data for the parish of St. Thomas, 1970–2002. Unpublished digital data, Meteorological Office of Jamaica, Kingston, Jamaica. CD Rom, Spreadsheet format, March 2003 release

  • Miller S, Harris N, William S, Bhalai S (2007) Landslide susceptibility assessment for St. Thomas, Jamaica, using geographical information system and remote sensing methods. In: Teeuw RM (ed) Mapping hazardous terrain using remote sensing. Geological Society, vol 283. London, Special Publications, pp 77–91

  • Mines and Geology Division (MGD) (2002) Preliminary assessment of landslide damage cause by May/June rains. Unpublished report, Mines and Geology Division, Ministry of Industry and Mining. Hope Garden, Kingston, Jamaica

  • Mines and Geology Division (MGD) (2004) Landslide susceptibility map, St Thomas. Unpublished map and guidance notes, Mines and Geology Division, Ministry of Industry and Mining. Hope Garden, Kingston, Jamaica

  • Mines and Geology Division, Jamaica (MGD) (2000) Provincial Geological sheets 13, 18, 19. Unpublished maps and side margin notes, Mines and Geology Division, Ministry of Industry and Mining, Hope Garden, Kingston, Jamaica

  • Morais R (2002) Coastal flooding. Tuesday 2 Jan 2001. Jamaica Gleaner Newspaper, 2 Jan 2001

  • ODPEM (2002) Disaster catalogue. ODPEM website http://www.odpem.org.jm/disaster_cat/flood.html. Accessed 15 Mar 2002

  • ODPEM (2006) ODPEM national disaster catalogue. Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Planning. Kingston, Jamaica, Online database, Jan 2006

  • ODPEM/CDB (2003) Assessment of 2002 May–June rainfall event and its associated damages. Report prepared by Geotechnics Ltd. in association with Lloyd Donaldson. Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Planning, Kingston, Jamaica

  • OPDEM (2002) Effects of tropical storm Lili. News release # 15 to # 20, September 2002. http://www.reliefweb.int/w/rwb.nsf/6686f45896f15dbc852567ae00530132/4f5d652369d291d3c1256c440040fd4f?OpenDocument. Accessed 15 Mar 2002

  • Ohlmacher G, Davis J (2003) Using multiple logistic regression and GIS technology to predict landslide hazard in northeast Kansas, USA. Eng Geol 69(3–4):331–343

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • ReliefWeb (2002) Heavy rains soak Jamaica. Relief Web, 12 June 2002. http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/RWB.NSF/db900SID/OCHA-64BS6L?OpenDocument. Accessed 03/08/2007

  • Smith A (2005) Blue Mtns cut off––hundreds marooned after landslides caused by ‘Dennis’, ‘Emily. Jamaica Gleaner Newspaper Published: Monday 25 July 2005

  • Survey Department of Jamaica (SDoJ) (2002) 1:12500 topographic Sheeets, Eastern Jamaica. Survey Department, Kingston, Jamaica

  • Süzen ML (2002) Data driven landslide hazard assessment using geographical information systems and remote sensing. Unpublished PhD thesis, The Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences of the Middle East Technical University, Turkey

  • Tabachnick B, Fidell L (2001) Using Multivariate Statistics, 4th edn. Allyn and Bacon

  • Terzaghi K (1950) Mechanisms of landslides. Geological Society of America. Engineering Geology, Berkley, pp 83–123

  • United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) (2003) Jamaican farmers pause to assess storm damage after heavy rainfall. USDA country report. 28 May 2003. Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division Foreign Agricultural Service, USA

  • Varnes DJ (1984) Landslide hazard zonation: a review of principles and practice. Series: commission on landslides of the IAEG, UNESCO. Nat Hazard 3:61

  • Yesilnacar E, Topal T (2005) Landslide susceptibility mapping: a comparison of logistic regression and neural networks methods in a medium scale study, Hendek region (Turkey). Eng Geol 79(3–4):251–266

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zans VA (1959) Judgment cliff landslide in the Yallahs valley. Geonotes. J Geol Soc Jam II(2):43–48

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Servel Miller.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Miller, S., Brewer, T. & Harris, N. Rainfall thresholding and susceptibility assessment of rainfall-induced landslides: application to landslide management in St Thomas, Jamaica. Bull Eng Geol Environ 68, 539–550 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-009-0232-z

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-009-0232-z

Keywords

Mots clés

Navigation