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Whose forecast will be verified in 2025: Malthus’ or Condorcet’s?

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Fig. 1

Notes

  1. Haber’s name is also connected with the dangerous aspects of science as he initiated modern chemical warfare by promoting and organizing the use of chlorine gas by the German army during the First World War. When Hitler came to power in Germany, Haber had to leave this country because of his Jewish origin. The German army used his invention to produce the Zyklon B gas for the extermination of Jews in the concentration camps during the Second World War.

  2. Fred Pearce’s book The Dammed: Rivers, Dams and the Coming World Water Crisis published by Jonathan Cape in 1992, is a charge sheet against the builders of dams.

  3. Karl Marx and his collaborator Friedrich Engels believed that the continuous struggle between the capitalists’ class and the exploited-workers’ class is driving history. Revolution, which will transfer power into the hands of the workers, will enable industrialization as a part of a centrally planned economy. This would ensure that the needs of all people will be met. Marx and Engels rejected Malthus’ population theory, as in their view, ideas like his were contrary to the interest of the workers’ class and hindered the social revolution they forecasted.

  4. A hand-powered multiple spinning machine that was the first machine to spin more than one ball of yarn or thread.

  5. “Rwanda in her vision” by Mansur Kakimba, The New Times Publications Sarl, Kigali, Rwanda, Friday, 04 August 2006.

  6. “The $100 laptop moves closer to reality” by Mike Ricciuti CNET News.com, 28 September 2005. MIT’s Nicholas Negroponte lays out a design for a low-cost PC with a twist: Windup power and an innovative display.

References

  • Condorcet AN (1795) Sketch for a historical picture of the progress of the human mind. {[Esquisse d’un tableau historique des progrès de l’esprit humain]}. Translated by June Barraclough. Weidenfeld and Nicolson, London, p 202, 1955

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  • International Water Management Institute (IWMI) (1998) World water demand and supply, 1990–2025, Scenarios and Issues, Research Report no. 19, IWMI, Colombo, Sri Lanka

  • Issar AS (with Colodny RG) (1995) From primeval chaos to infinite intelligence, Ashgate-Avebury. London, p 148

  • Malthus TR (1798) An essay on the principle of population, printed in 1985, Penguin, London, p 287

  • Pearce F (1992) The dammed: rivers, dams and the coming world water crisis. Jonathan Cape, London

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  • Pearce F (2006) When the rivers run dry: What happens when our water runs out? Transworld, London, p 368

  • WWF (2006) World water forum bulletin, vol. 82, No. 15, International Institute for Sustainable Development, Winnipeg, MB, Canada

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Environmental Hydrology and Microbiology, Zuckerberg Institute for Water Research, J. Blaustein Institutes for Desert Research, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Sede Boker, Israel

    Arie S. Issar

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  1. Arie S. Issar
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Correspondence to Arie S. Issar.

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Issar, A.S. Whose forecast will be verified in 2025: Malthus’ or Condorcet’s?. Hydrogeol J 15, 419–422 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-006-0146-9

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